Nicole's
Dramatic confrontation with Zidler "He loves me Harold!"
The
plate smash -as one reader wrote: "It's as good as Cher's 'snap
out of it' or Shirley's 'give my daughter the shot!'
Book
party Botch up or "wanton sex goddess"
How
did they get nominated?
35%
Surprise attack -they didn't expect her to be this good. 30 % Stardom, hotness & Glamour in real life. 15 % Playing against type convincingly. 12 % The Performance. 7 % Damsel in distress nature of role. 1 % Guilt factor. AMPAS
hates the racist charges.
50%
The name "Judi Dench" 20 % They love actors playing real people. 13 % Miramax backing. 10 % In addition to mental retardation, weight gain, and accents
the Academy also repeatedly drools for the terminally ill or afflicted. 7 % The performance.
54%
Media hurricane surrounding her and the picture itself. 14 % Iconic nature of role. This will mark the moment she ascended
into the pantheon. 13 % The performance.
10 % Hotness & Glamour in real life. 7 % Surprise attack -singing & dancing !?! 2 %Take that Tom!
30%
She's "Sissy Spacek" after all. The Hollywood royalty
vote. 25 % Miramax backing and the picture itself. 22 % The Performance
18 % Comeback factor. 5 % Matronly nature of role. They love mourning, angry, troubled,
or depressed moms.
30
% Accent and weight gain -primo Oscar bait hooks. 28 % Performance. Hey, it takes a good one to get a nom for
comedy.
22 % Guilt factor. Shouldn't
she have already been nominated (a couple times over) by now? Huh? 15 % Miramax.
5 % Hotness & Glamour in real life.
How'd
I do on my predictions?
Well,
in January I was 5 for 5 perfect score -even predicting Zelwegger before
the SAG nod. But I so feared the Kidman split that I gave into it. So
my score here is 4/5. Tilda Swinton
didn't score as I predicted she might in the event of a Kidman no-show.
But I still believe she probably missed by a really slim margin. I'm
mostly happy with this line-up as Oscar line-ups go. There's nothing
embarassing here.
Who
Got Robbed?
The
magnificent Charlotte Rampling from
Under the Sand and the indelible Naomi
Watts of Mulholland Drive fame -both of whom more
than deserved shout outs from AMPAS. (They both scored in my Awards)
Who
Might Think About Writing a Speech?
Sissy
Spacek will probably win but it's not as locked up as folks
are saying: The vote count will be tight with Berry
(they could make history by repeating the SAG decision) and
Kidman (they like to crown beautiful limelight-soaked stars)
both right on her lauded tail.
Who
Should Win
Nicole
Kidman -who was not only convincing and iconic in Moulin
Rouge! but managed to swing expertly from slapstick, to singing,
to drama, to high tragedy, to swooning romance all in the same gonzo
film. Like her unjustly ignored co-star Ewan MacGregor, she not only
acted -she embodied the spirit of the film.
Behold Nicole Kidman! She actually deserved her 2001 year long hype-a-thon.
If
you want to laugh at me -look back at the predictions
.
TM
Best Actress
