Final
Predictions & Nomination
Tallies (By Film)
It's Deakins opportunity (finally) to take home the gold.
Slavomir Idziak
Andrew Lesnie
Roger Deakins
Donald McAlpine
Janusz Kaminski
(4 Oscar noms) One of the greats lensing a black and white noir probably gives the Academy ideal opportunity to finally recognize his gift.
Terrific work but possibly too wild and color saturated for the Oscar tastes -which usually veer toward landscapes.
(two time winner)
Even if the picture is ignored he may score a nomination. But he won't nab a third Oscar yet.
Oliver Stapleton
Peter Deming
(I don't really understand who gets the nominations for this category anymore since it's based on art dir;, set dec., & production des. so I'm not mentioning any names... It used to be two different categories.)
For its futuristic cities, homes, and ruins.
A magical world adapted from famous literature.
A magical world adapted from famous literature.
The delicious Nicole amidst dazzling sets as beautiful as she.
For its casino recreations and coolness.
For its eccentric home in a fantasy Manhattan.
Miramax campaign backing and its digitally enhanced Montmartre.
Dennis Gassner is an Oscar favorite. Expressive barbershop and noir offices.
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COSTUME DESIGN Will Martin's & Straithie's theatrically wild can-can stars in Moulin Rouge take the prize... or will something else more traditional prevail? |
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Blow
Mark Bridges |
Harry
Potter Judianna
Makovsky
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The
Royal Tenenbaums Karen
Patch
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Moulin
Rouge!
Martin
& Straithie
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Planet
of the Apes
Colleen Atwood |
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CDG
nom
I hadn't previously thought of this as a contender but given its early release and its surprise CDG nom -it may be in. |
CDG
nom. It seems that bringing these characters to life would
lock any such nomination. Her name will be on the ballot.
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CDG
nom
Costumed all of Wes's films. Too oddball theatrical for the Oscars? Nevertheless its thrilling and risky work for a film that isn't really "period" |
Satellite
win.
(1 nom in other category.) Because they'd be insane to ignore it... although it was conspicuously absent from the CDG noms. |
CDG
nom
(3 noms. 0 wins. Sleepy Hollow. Beloved. Little Women.) Tim Burton's costuming wunderkind is an Oscar favorite. |
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The
Challengers
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Gosford
Park
-? |
Hedwig
and the Angry Inch
Arianne Phillips. |
Lord
of the Rings
Ngila Dickson |
Oceans
11
Jeffrey Kurkland |
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If
this gets a best picture nom it's probably in for sure. There are
dozens of characters, meticulously researched work and there's dialogue
ABOUT the clothes which draws attention.
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CDG
nom
Inspired. She also costumed the punk stylings of Tank Girl a few years back. Hedwig's Surprise Golden Globe nom could bring the film attention elsewhere. |
Conspicuously
absent from the CDGs but will Oscars really ignore this. Maybe Dickson
wasn't a guild member? Dickson's resume is mostly TV but she costumed
Heavenly Creatures as well.
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CDG
nom
A good job of delineating the characters as well as embodying a certain essence of cool. Bonus points for all of Elliott Gould's scenes. Hilarious! |
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Costume Design Longshot Hopefuls
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The
Affair of the Necklace -Milena Canonero (an
Oscar favorite) * Legally Blonde -CDG
nom * Mulholland Drive -CDG nom
* Charlotte Gray * The
Others * The Man Who Wasn't
There
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DOCUMENTARY
FEATURE
some of these descriptions are courtesy of Sijmen's Oscar Experiment |
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The documentary committee almost always ignores the
documentaries that find their own audience. And its hard to track
in which year documentaries are eligible since the release patterns
are often strange. The following 2001 documentary theatrical releases
that you may have heard of were not selected: The
Gleaners and I, startup.com, The Endurance, Life and Debt, Keep the
River on Your Right: A Modern Cannibal Tale, Down from the Mountain,
Trembling Before G_D, Porn Star, Fighter, Cool and Crazy, Southern
Comfort, and Fighter.
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A
Child's Century of War
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Children
Underground
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Lalee's
Kin
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My
Khmer Heart
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We
Stand Alone Together
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The
Oscar committee's last winner was about children in World War II so
they may go for this as well.
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It's
difficult to say if Oscar will respond to a documentary this bleak
but they do tend to gravitate towards documentaries revolving around
kids and serious subject matter.
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(about
an idiosyncratic Southern woman, directed by Albert Maysles)
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(about "a wonderful woman who opens an orphanage in Cambodia and saves
orphans," with actor Danny Glover apparently a producer or sponsor
of some kind)
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(executive
produced by Steven Spielberg, about the actual guys who served as
the basis of the characters in Spielberg's HBO minseries Band of Brothers)
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The
Other Possibilities:
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War
Photographer -? Murder on a Sunday Morning
(a Thin Blue Line-like doc about a black kid accused of murdering
a white woman in Florida, only to later be found innocent) Promises
(from Cowboy releasing, about kids' exposure to the Arab-Israeli
conflict) Stacy Peralta's Dogtown and Z Boys (winner of the
Sundance documentary award in January 2001) Westray (an account
of a 1992 Nova Scotia mining disaster, produced by the National Film
Board of Canada)
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LIVE
ACTION & ANIMATED SHORT FILM CATEGORIES
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Who
the hell knows? We
don't even know what's been submitted.
WHAT HE SAID: Sijmen made some wild guesses. |
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DOCUMENTARY
SHORT
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Who
the hell knows? We
don't even know what's been submitted. |
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ORIGINAL SCORE I think this is a race between oft nominated Horner (A Beautiful Mind) and heretofore ignored Shore (LOTR) |
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Amélie
Yann Tiersen |
A
Beautiful Mind
James Horner |
Gosford
Park Patrick Doyle
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Harry
Potter
John Williams |
Lord
of the Rings
Howard Shore |
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They
like foreign films in thie category and this music is whimsical and
fun but it would need a sweeping crossover to place anywhere at this
point.
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Globe
nomination.
(5 noms 1 win in this category.) This is a frontrunner film and the music is memorable (He also penned the Iris score with solos fromJoshua Bell). |
AFI
nomination. Lovely playful score...if the film
gets in it has a really good shot.
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(39
nominations in the past 32 years. 5 wins.) Beloved by Lucas and Spielberg
both. He's always nominated. Always predictable. Nearly always overbearing.
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LA
& Las Vegas Winner. Globe & AFI noms. (Se7en.
Ed Wood. Philadelphia. High Fidelity and many more.) He's
never been nominated despite scoring 50+ films in his two and a half
decade career. Career achievement?
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The
Challengers
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A.I.
Artificial Intelligence
John Williams |
Mulholland
Drive
Angelo Badalementi |
Shipping News Christopher Young
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Pearl
Harbor Hans Zimmer
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Monsters,
Inc.
Randy Newman |
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Globe
nomination. The Academy can't live without his brand of
bombast: The question is 'which film'? Or will he double dip?
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AFI
& Globe nominations. Could Badalementi (who also has
a hilariously perverse cameo in the film) finally score Oscar attention?
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Globe
nom.
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Globe
nomination. Despite the Globe score
nom surprise... I doubt they'll pay too much attention.
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An early frontrunner for music awards which
is slipping due to the Globe shut out.
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Longshot
Hopefuls (Moulin Rouge! was deemed ineligible)
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Ali
-Borke, Bourke, Gerrard
Globe nomination. Gerrard has a Globe for Gladiator but didn't share
the same nomination for the Oscars. In fact she's still Oscar nomination-less.
* In the Bedroom -Thomas Newman (4 noms. 0 wins) * Iris
-James Horner (5 nominations in this particular and 1 win for
Titanic.) He's famous and there's violin solos by phenom Joshua
Bell so you know that'll go over well but since he also scored
A Beautiful Mind * The Others -Alejandro Amenabar Not enough
attention was paid here for people to realize how good it was * Waking
Life -Clover Gil. A wonderful score. The film is too atypical
for Oscars regardless of merit * The Royal Tenenabums -Mark
Mothersbaugh -former Devo member who has a lot of TV credits and wrote
the classic Pee Wee's Playhouse theme * Planet of the Apes
-Danny Elfman * Sexy Beast * Black Hawk Down -because
it's Hans Zimmer
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ORIGINAL
SONG
Year after year, the Oscar's stupidest category. |
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Kate
and Leopold -Sting "Until"
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Monsters,
Inc. -Randy Newman
"If I Didn't Have You" |
Lord
of the Rings
-Enya "May It Be" |
Pearl
Harbor
-Faith Hill "There You'll Be" |
Vanilla
Sky
-Paul McCartney "Vanilla Sky" |
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BFC
&
Globe nom.
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Newman
is nominated every year so this year shouldn't be an exception. He's
never won.
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BFC
&
Globe nom. Las Vegas win. Enya contributes this Celtic ballad.
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BFC
& Globe nom. the film's nonsensical Faith Hill power
ballad is strictly paint by numbers but the music branch likes it like
that.
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BFC
& Globe
nom. With
Come What May out of the race this is the clear front runner.
McArtney will be this year's Dylan.
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The
Challengers
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A
Beautiful Mind Charlotte Church
"All Love Can Be" Satellite
win. Music and Lyrics by James Horner and Will Jennings.
If the film sweeps this will slide in but the song is rather unappealing.
Charlotte sounds as if she's slipping into a coma singing it.Gosford
Park -? "The
Way It's Meant to Be" -Music by
Patrick Doyle. Lyrics by Altman. Not sure who performs it.
I don't recall hearing this in the film which is wierd because there's
a long and humorous recital by Jeremy Northam but those were, as far
as I could tell, old songs written by the man that Northam was playing,
a '30s English movie star Ivor Novello. Vanilla
Sky -Cameron Diaz "I Fall Apart"
Music and Lyrics by Nancy Wilson and Cameron Crowe. The
Score -Diana
Krall "I'll Make it up as I Go"
Music and Lyrics by David Foster and Amy Gillies
Film seems to have been forgotten but it's a pretty song and better
one than many of its competitors.
A.I.
Artificial Intelligence -"For Always"
Yikes this category sucks!
Ali -R. Kelly
"The World's Greatest" There's
a soundtrack so there may be more than one possibility but at this distance
-this one looks prominent.
or it could be "Fight"
Alicia Keys. Final Fantasy-?
"The Dream Within Not likely. Atlantis
?
-"Where the Dream Takes You" Can't
remember this but Disney's traditional end credits R&B ballad usually
gets nominated. The problem here is the Disney is sort of embarassed
about the film and not promoting it at all in favor of Monsters, Inc.
The Score -Cassandra Wilson "You're
About to Give In" Film seems to have been forgotten
for the most part. Monster's
Ball -The JayHawks "I'm Your Man"
Depending on how much attention the film gets.
Save the Last Dance -"All or Nothing"
-Music and lyrics by a whole freaking army of
people. But since the film came out a whole year ago -doubtful
Legally Blonde -? "Perfect Day"
to pop ditty forgettable. Even by AMPAS standards
Glitter -Mariah Carey
"???" Something from -Nah,
they'd be too embarassed.
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The
"Come What May" Controversy
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 Moulin
Rouge! -Ewan MacGregor and Nicole Kidman "Come What May" Music and lyrics by ? Golden Globe and Golden Satellite nominations. This song (far and away the best movie ditty of the year) has been deemed ineligible to compete in this category at the Oscars. Seems Baz had it written for Romeo + Juliet back in 1996 -decided not to use it for that film but to keep it for Moulin Rouge! instead. The tricky and controversial part of all of this is Bazmark actually began work on Moulin Rouge! before Romeo + Juliet (the project has been gestating in their minds forever) So technically it could be considered as original since it was written for a Baz film. They're both part of his "red curtain trilogy" and since the song was never used or published otherwise it still fits the original bill. The Academy's beef is that it was not written specifically for MR but for Baz and R+J. Seems a minor quibble in a category that so regularly strains for five listenable, let alone good, tunes. Just two years ago the Academy let Aimee Mann's terrific "Save Me" from Magnolia in even though that song on a demo tape inspired P.T. Anderson in his writing of the screenplay...so therefore it could NOT have been written specifically for that film. But Mann and Anderson (close friends) saved it for the film. It was not published elsewhere so the Academy still considered it "original" You'd think they could extend the same courtesy to Baz Luhrmann. |
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Best
Editing
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A
Beautiful Mind
Hanley & Hill |
Black
Hawk Down
Scalia |
Gosford
Park
Squyres |
Lord
of the Rings
Gilbert, Horton, Selkirk |
Memento
Dorn |
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EDDIE nom.
(1 win for Apollo 13) They work with Ron Howard regularly and its a frontrunner film. |
AFI
& EDDIE nominations. They'd have to have at least one action/violent
film in this mix. (in addition to Ali's fisticuffs.)
- |
EDDIE & AFI nominations.
A difficult job technically given the dozens of characters, overlap dialogue, and busy frame but superbly well handled. |
EDDIE
nomination.Satellite win.
Editing nominations favor really long and epic films -which this is. And it helps that it plays so smoothly as well. Good job. |
AFI
& EDDIE nominations, Vegas win. Getting a lot of credit
for handling the backward plot so well. Previous credits involve independents
and TV work as well as years as a sound editor.
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Challengers
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A.I.
Artificial Intelligence
Michael Kahn |
Moulin
Rouge
Jill Bilcock |
Shrek
? |
The
Royal Tenenbaums
Daniel Padgett |
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Often
nominated: 6 times with 2 wins. Schindler's List. Saving Private
Ryan. Raiders of the Lost Ark. Fatal Attraction. etc... This was
probably an unusually difficult film to edit but the structure may turn
traditionalists off.
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AFI
winner & EDDIE nomination.
Her editing is the most frequently attacked technical work in the film. It is jarring and ramped up but that was entirely intentional. Daring work doesn't score as well as invisible work come Oscar time, though. |
EDDIE
nom.
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EDDIE
nom.
Padgett is graduating from assistant editor status and doing great work
with Wes Anderson.
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Longshots
-Other EDDIE noms...
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Harry Potter and the Sorceror's Stone
& Monsters, Inc.
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MAKEUP
Rick Baker will win his millionth Oscar for his Planet of the Apes work. |
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Planet
of the Apes
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Harry
Potter and the Sorceror's Stone
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Lord
of the Rings
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Vegas
win. (zillions of noms and wins in this category.) Wish he's
cut off that damn pony tail though.
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For
the goblins and the ancient relic professors.
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For
elves, hobbits, dwarves, orcs, etc... Credits: Mad
Max: Beyond Thunderdome, The Piano, Angel at My Table.
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The
Challengers
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A.I.
Artificial Intelligence
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A
Beautiful Mind
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someone
had to make Jude and Haley all shiny and believeably manufactured.
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the
old age makeup isn't as embarassing as it usually is. And sometimes
they like their best picture nominees to be in every conceivable category.
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Eligible
Longshots
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Moulin
Rouge -? For
the denizens/entertainers at the Moulin Rouge! * Hannibal
-In case they feel extra gorey.
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VISUAL
EFFECTS
The Oscar f/x committees has narrowed this down to eight eligible contenders. |
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A.I.
Artificial Intelligence
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Pearl
Harbor
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Lord
of the Rings
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-AFI
nom
I don't even like the film but I'm pretty sure it deserves this Oscar hands down. |
The
incessant commercials showing the Birds
eye views of bombings probably locked this up back in June.
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-AFI
& Satellite & Vegas win.
Jackson's unique visual sensibilities bled into the f/x team and made it really magical. |
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The
Other Eligible Challengers
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Black
Hawk Down General
mayhem. And from what I've heard less cartoony and therefore
more noteworthy than Pearl Harbor's f/x
Harry Potter and the Sorceror's Stone -AFI nomination. For its cheesy model work and clumsy CGI... oh, never mind. I think this will be an omission and will surprise the Potter fanatics. This group votes by an elimination process watching effects reels from the films * They'll see it's nothing special. (I hope.) Cats and Dogs -Live action mixing with CGI and models and real animals. The Fast and the Furious -Cars and more cars and high speed hijinx * Jurassic Park III -The dinos have been done but the competition is weak. It wasn't a year for groundbreaking effects. |
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SOUND
DESIGN
I really haven't a clue what they'll nominate here -so I went with the Audio Society noms. |
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Black
Hawk Down
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Lord
of the Rings
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Moulin
Rouge!
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Pearl
Harbor
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Shrek
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Blow
stuff up good.
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Satellite
win.
Fireballs, swordfights, zinging arrows and magical incantantations. |
All
singing. All dancing. All aural landscape.
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Blow
stuff up good.
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They'll
throw it a bone somewhere.
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The
Challengers
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A.I. Artificial
Intelligence
-For
its bombast and scifi soundscape. Amélie -they might throw
it a bone elsewhere? The
Fast and The Furious -Grit,
grease, wheels, and drag racing.
The Others -If
they have respect for the restraint in sound, this is a lock.Planet
of the Apes
-Blow
stuff up good with monkey sounds. They'll go ape!Pearl
Harbor -Blow
stuff up good.
Mulholland Drive -Nobody
beats Lynch with sound... but will they embrace the wierd in these über
conservative times?
The Man Who Wasn't There
-quiet splendor and droll noir voiceover.Oceans
11 -I
don't know. I'm just guessing. From
Hell -Gory
noise does more work than the visuals here.
Gosford Park
-despite complex dialogue layering etc... Altman's films don't usually
score here.Harry
Potter and the Sorceror's Stone -Magical
incantations and bombast.
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SOUND
EFFECTS EDITING
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Black
Hawk Down
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The
Fast and the Furious
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Lord
of the Rings
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Explosions
and warfare.
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The
noisiest movie of the year may wow sound geeks considering the machinery
on display...
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Magical
mayhem.
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The
Other Eligible Challengers
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A.I.
Artificial Intelligence
-I'm
just guessing. Sci-fi is a good bet here. Although can we deduct points
for the annoying celebrity robot voices?
Amélie -Hmmmm.
Monsters, Inc -Cool!
Pearl
Harbor -Explosions
and warfare.
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Nomination
Tally
and my vote for the movie that's going to feel like a best picture nominee
that isn't -you know there's one every year- but has lots o' nominations
is Gosford Park -or, worst case currently predicted scenario, Moulin
Rouge!
13 nominations
LORD OF THE RINGS
7 nominations
A BEAUTIFUL MIND (this seems low for a frontrunner but I can't figure out
where else it would place)
6 nominations
BLACK HAWK DOWN
GOSFORD PARK
5 nominations
MOULIN ROUGE
IN THE BEDROOM
4 nominations
HARRY POTTER
SHREK
3 nominations
A.I. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE * PEARL HARBOR
2 nominations
AMELIE * ALI * THE MAN WHO WASN'T THERE *
PLANET OF THE APES * MEMENTO *
VANILLA SKY * IRIS * BRIDGET JONES DIARY * MONSTER'S BALL *
THE ROYAL TENENBAUMS * MONSTERS INC
1 nomination
BLOW * KATE AND LEOPOLD * FAST AND THE FURIOUS
I AM SAM * TRAINING DAY * SEXY BEAST * BANDITS
LIFE AS A HOUSE * MONSTERS, INC * JIMMY NEUTRON * * THE DEEP END
Current Predicted
Snubs with Zero Nominations:
GHOST WORLD * MULHOLLAND DRIVE * HEDWIG AND THE ANGRY INCH * THE SHIPPING
NEWS
To see the FiLM BiTCH Awards -go here
