OSCAR PREDICTIONS
by
Nathaniel
R
days
until OSCAR NOMINATIONS
ARE ANNOUNCED!
days
until OSCAR NIGHT!
Predictions
Index 54 Eligible Contenders Argentina to Finland / France to Norway / Palestine to Vietnam |
| _Argentina_ | _to_ | _Finland |
FOREIGN
RELEASES (2005) BOX OFFICE
/
FOREIGN COUNTRIES -OSCAR
RECORDS / 2004 -LAST
YEAR'S SUBMISSIONS
color
chart: Green (very likely --there are no locks in foreign film) /
yellow (in the running)
blue (probably not but still possible) / red (it won't be happening)
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| Argentina 5 noms / 1 win El Aura Fabian Bielinsky official site |
Bangladesh never nominated Shyamol Chhaya (The Green Shade) Humayan Ahmed site |
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no
US distribution |
no
US distribution |
SPC
Opens March 2006 |
Columbia
- Opening TBA |
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details 95 min (Spanish) starring ... synopsis An epileptic taxidermistbecomes obsessed with committing a perfect crime. A hunting trip gives him the opportunity. misc info ... not selected: Whisky Romeo Zulu, Elsa & Fred or HermanasAnd Iluminados por el Fuego academy reaction: mostly positive. |
details 110 min (Bangla) starring Shawon, Riyaz, Humayan Faridy synopsis A movie about Bangladesh’s Liberation War and a boat journey. 'Shyamol Chhaya' is a dream of a 'land of peace.' misc info ... not selected: The other finalist was a film named Duratta academy reaction: technically not up to what AMPAS needs. |
details 95 min (French) starring Jérémie Renier (from La Promesse) and Deborah Françoise synopsis A young poor couple's struggles with a new child. misc info Won the Cannes 2005 Festival, the second time the Dadenne Bros have taken top honors. academy reaction: Has some passionate supporters. It could be there. |
details 69 min () starring the director and his friends and family. synopsis This is one of those uncategorizable entries. It's an autiobiographical documentrary from the director apparently about the span of years from 1958 to the present. misc info ... not selected: Ahmed Imamovic's Go West and Dobro ustimani mrtvaci (Well Tempered Corpses) by Benjamin Filipovic. academy reaction: mixed. and they don't usually go for films that play with the form (i.e. a documentary that's a personal essay for foreign film?) |
details 132 min (Portugese) starring Ângelo Antônio, Jackson Antunes, Diar Paes, synopsis Involving a man's lifelong dream to see his sons as music stars. misc info BIG hit in Brazil. Said to be warm, funny, and moving. Might be right up Oscar's alley. no selected: Jogo Subterrâneo, Meu Tio Matou um Cara, Quanto Vale ou é por Quilo?, Casa de Areia starring Fernanda Montenegro. Gaijin - Ama-me como Sou, Concerto Campestre, A Dona da História', Contra Todos', Quase Dois Irmãos, Garrincha - Estrela Solitária and Tainá 2 - A Aventura Continua', academy reaction: positive. but not a sure thing. |
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Colombia never nominated La Sombra del Caminante (The Wandering Shadows) Ciro Guerra |
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| no
US distribution |
no
US distribution |
no
US distribution |
no
US distrib (yet -soon I'm sure) |
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details 110 min (Bulgarian/ Turkish) starring Vessela Kazakova (who won a prize at the Moscow Film Festival and also starred in Bulgaria's last entry Mila From Mars.) synopsis a controversial love story about a young Muslim woman and a Bulgarian soldier. misc info This is a co-production with Turkey academy reaction: mixed to positive. |
details ... starring Michel Cote, Marc-André Grodin, Danielle Proulx, Emile Vallée synopsis Two decades in the life of a family with five sons. The mom is religious. The dad music obsessed. And one child, who the film focuses on is struggling with his parents expectations of him and his sesxuality. misc info An homage to the 70s. academy reaction: has passionate supporters. But enough of them? |
details 100 min (Spanish) starring Viviana Herrera and Andrés Ulloa. synopsis A love story about a couple just missing the opportunity to meet. misc info ... not selected: Mi mejor enemigo (My Best Enemy) academy reaction: mixed to positive. |
details ??? min (Cantonese) starring Dong-Kun Jang, Cecilia Cheung, Ye Liu, and Hiroyuki Sanada (from The Last Samurai & The White Countess) synopsis A concubine and a slave fall in love. misc info Yes, this is a martial arts flick. Chen is a former nominee in this category with the '93 arthouse hit Farewell My Concubine. not selected: Kekexili - directed by Lu Chuan. academy reaction: positive (but if House of Flying Daggers didn't make it last year... wuxia may be over with the Academy) |
details 90 min (Spanish) starring Cesar Badillo & Ignacio Prieto synopsis Story of a crippled mCiro Geurraan's journey with a man who carries him around for money. Their past haunts them both. (in Black and White) misc info ... academy reaction: they like their foreign submissions more visually accomplished. |
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Costa
Rica 1st SUBMISSION Caribe Esteban Ramirez |
Croatia never nominated A Wonderful Night in Split (Ta Divna Splitska Noc) Arstin Ostojic |
Cuba noms Viva Cuba! Juan Carlos Cremata Malberti |
Czech
Republic 8 noms / 3 wins 'Sštešstí' (Something Like Happiness) Bohdan Sláma |
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US distribution |
no
US distribution |
no
US distribution |
no
US distribution |
no
US distribution |
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details ... starring Jorge Perrugoría, Cuca Escribano, and Maya Zapata synopsis A biologists life by the sea is turned upside down when he loses his client and the arrival of his wife's half sister and American oil companies. misc info ... academy reaction: mixed. |
details 100 min (Serbo-Croatian / English) starring Dino Dvornik, Mladen Vulic, Marija Skaricic and Coolio (!) synopsis A multiple character narrative. misc info Shot on location at the medieval Ghetto of Split, which is on UNESCO's List of World Heritage as a cultural monument. Apparently this film was a huge critical success in Croatia, their most popular film in years. academy reaction: mixed. |
details 80 min (Spanish) starring Jorgito Miló Avila and Malú Tarrau Broche synopsis Sociopolitical and allegorical film about two children entering adolescence and trying to remain friends despite the animosity of their families. misc info ... academy reaction: unknown |
details 102 min (Czech) starring Ana Geislerova, Tatiana Vilhelmova, and Pavel Liska synopsis A dark but said to be "grimly funny" slice of life drama sent in an industrial neighborhood. misc info Sláma is a previously submited filmmaker in this category for Wild Bees. not selected: Filip Renc’s From Subway With Love (“Roman pro zeny”) a romantic comedy which has been an enduring hit in the Czech Republic. academy reaction: mixed to positive. |
details 94 min (Danish) starring Ulrich Thomsen & Nikolaj Lie Kaas (both of Brothers fame) synopsis Black comedy about a neo nazi who is assigned community service. misc info Based on the Biblical story of Job. Jensen is no stranger to the Oscar race having written previous Scandinavian submissions like Open Hearts and Mifune and winning a Short Film Oscar. no selected: Per Fly's Drabet ("Manslaughter") w/ Jesper Christensen (from The Interpreter), Strings and the formerly submitted director Christoffer Boe (Reconstruction) for Allegro starring Ulrich Thomsen academy reaction: mixed. but has passionate fans. and you need those to make it in. |
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