OSCAR PREDICTIONS

by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NOMINATIONS ARE ANNOUNCED!
days until OSCAR NIGHT!

_Palestine_ _to_ _Vietnam_

FOREIGN RELEASES (2005) BOX OFFICE /
FOREIGN COUNTRIES -OSCAR RECORDS / 2004 -LAST YEAR'S SUBMISSIONS

Palestine
never nominated
Paradise Now
Hany Abu-Assad
Peru
never nominated
Dias de Santiago
Josué Méndez
Poland
7 nominations
Bailiff
(Komornik)
Feliks Falk
Portugal
never nominated
In the Darkness of Night (Noite Escura)
João Canijo
more info
Puerto Rico
never nominated
Cayo
Vicente Juarbe
official site
WIP
Now Playing
 
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
90 min (Arabic / English)
starring
Kais Nashef, Ali Suliman, Lubna Azabal, Amer Hlehel, and Hiam Abbass
synopsis

The story of potential suicide bombers in Tel Aviv.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
very positive.
details
83 min (Spanish)
starring
Pietro Sibile, Milagros Vidal, Marisela Puicón, Alhelí Castillo, Lili Urbina and Erick García
synopsis

A young solider returns from years of warfare, and struggles to adjust to the chaos of life in Lima with his family.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
mixed.
details
100 min (Polish)
starring
...
synopsis

The story of a debt collector
misc info
the big winner at the Poland Film Festival
academy reaction:
mixed.
details
94 min (Portugese / Russian)
starring
Fernando Luís, Cleia Almeida, Rita Blanco, and Beatriz Batarda
synopsis

Family conflicts within a brothel on the Portuguese countryside.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
mixed. Too harsh for AMPAS tastes perhaps.
details
...
starring
Roselyn Sanchez
synopsis

Memories of three friends.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
mixed.
Romania
never nominated
The Death of Mr Lazarescu (Moartea domnului Lazarescu)
Cristi Puiu
Russia
13 noms / 4 wins
The Italian
Andrei Kravchuk
Serbia & Montenegro
never nominated
Midwinter Night's Dream
Goran Paskaljevic´
Slovak Republic
never nominated
City of the Sun
(Slunecní stát)
Martin Sulik
more info
Slovenia
never nominated
Rusıevine
(The Ruins)
Janez Burger
website
Tartan Films
Opens June 2006
Opens 2006 TBA
 
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
153 min
starring
Ion Fiscuteanu, Luminta Gheorghiu, Gabriel Spahiu, and Doro Ana
synopsis

An alcoholic suffers through the Romanian health care system in this black comedy.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
It doesn't sound at all like the type of thing they like. But reaction is said to have been very positive.
details
...
starring
Kolya Spiridonov, a child actor getting raves.
synopsis

...
misc info
this film has been picked up for American distribution.
academy reaction:
very positive. A contender.
details
95 min (Serbian)
starring
Lazar Ristovski, Jasna Zalica & Jovana Mitic
synopsis

A man returns home after a decade long absence to discover a Bosnian refugee and his daughter in his home.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
probably too depressing to be in play.
details
95 min (Czech, Slovak)
starring
Oldrich Navrátil,
Ivan Martinka,
Lubo Kostelny and
Igor Bares
synopsis

Unemployed friends in Ostrava, a border town.
misc info
One of the 40+ selections for the European Film Awards last year.
academy reaction:
mixed. not their kind of thing.
details
87 min.
starring
Natasıa Burger,Vesna Jevnikar,Darko Rundek
synopsis

A drama about a theater director and his casts of actors.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
mixed. but AMPAS does like films about actors.
South Africa
1 nomination
Tsotsi
Gavin Hood
official site
Spain
19 noms / 4 wins
Obaba
Montxo Armendáriz
Sweden
14 noms / 3 wins
Zozo
Josef Fares
more info
Switzerland
5 noms / 2 wins
Tout un Hiver Sans Feu
Greg Zglinski
more info
Taiwan
3 noms / 1 win
The Wayward Cloud
Ming-Liang Tsai
Miramax -TBA
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
...
starring
Presley Chweneyagae, Terry Pheto, and Mothusi Magano
synopsis

Six days in the life of a ruthless tsotsi (which means thug, gangster, etc...) who ends up caring for an infant after a car-jacking."
misc info
Got a huge profile just last week as it won the Toronto Film Festival's "People's Choice"
academy reaction:
extremely positive.
details
117 min (Spanish)
starring
Pilar López de Ayala, Juan Diego Botto, Mercedes Sampietro, Bárbara Lennie and Eduard Fernández.
synopsis

A film student, comes to Obaba, a small town where the habitants have a long held secret.
misc info
Armendáriz was nominated once already in this category for Secrets of the Heart in 1997.
not selected: Princesses and Ninette were the other finalists.
academy reaction:

mixed to positive. But it's Spain so it can't be ruled out.

details
103 min (Arabic, Swedish)
starring
Imad Creidi,
Antoinette Turk,
and Viktor Axelsson
synopsis

Story of an Arabic kid immigrating from Lebanon to Sweden
misc info
Apparently an autobiographical film as the director also moved from Lebanon to Sweden when he was a young boy. His first film Jalla! Jalla! was submitted a few years back.
academy reaction:
mixed to positive.
details
88 min (French)
starring
Blerim Gjoci
Marie Matheron
Gabriela Muskala
Aurélien Recoing
synopsis

???
misc info
???
academy reaction:
mixed to positive.
details
114 min (Mandarin)
starring
Kang-Sheng Lee
synopsis

some sort of pornographic musical. seriously.
misc info
Well Mike D'Angelo certainly loves it
academy reaction:
They couldn't have known what hit them.
Readers who contributed:
AD, Aldo, Alex, Alvaro, André, Anthony, Antonio, Arietro, Arkaan, Armando, Brent, Christian, Chusang, Cristian, Dante, Dario, Deknang, Elka, Engin, Enrique, Fabrizio, Felippe, Francesco, Geert, Jackie, Javi, Kamyar, Kartsten, Ken, Klemen, Kshitij, Luis, Marcelo, Marco, Marcos, Marfil, Mariette, Michael, Nacho, Noah, Nedim, Peo, Pepepaco, Rasmus, Rob, Rodney, Shay, Sina, Thomas, Victor, and Yonatan


High Profile --not submitted:

BELGIUM Calvaire (The Ordeal)
BRAZIL Casa de Areia (House of Sand) CHINA Kekexili and Kung Fu Hustle FRANCE
The Beat That My Heart Skipped and Kings and Queen MEXICO
Battle in Heaven
and Sangre

VENEZUELA
Secuestro Express

Academy Rejections / Disqualifications

(Rejected during submission or disqualified afterward:

AUSTRIA -Caché (Hidden)
BOLIVIA -Say Good Morning to Dad
GREECE -Brides
ITALY Private
NETHERLANDS -Bluebird
SINGAPORE -Be With Me
TAJIKISTAN -Sex & Philosophy
URUGUAY -Alma Mater
VENEZUELA -1888

Countries that did not submit this year
AFGHANISTAN * ECUADOR * EGYPT * MALAYSIA * PHILLIPINES
Thailand
never nominated
The Tin Mine
Jira Malikul
official site
Turkey
never nominated
Gönül Yarasi (Lovelorn)
Yavuz Turgul
official site
Vietnam
1 nomination
Buffalo Boy
Minh Nguyen-Vo  
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distrib

details
unknown
starring
Pijaya Vachajitpan & Donlaya Mudcha
synopsis

A student is expelled from university and then is put to work in a Tin Mine.
misc info
Based on the short stories of Ajin Panjapan
academy reaction:
mixed to positive.

details
??? (Turkish, Kurdish)
starring
Sener Sen, Meltem Cumbul, Timuçin Esen,
synopsis

???
misc info
???
academy reaction:
mixed to positive.

It's Buffalo Boy which has been making the festival rounds (I saw it at TIFF in 2004) for a year now.

academy reaction:
positive.




Other Years?
Awards Index

 

 

 

 
no US distrib