OSCAR COMMENTARY
by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT completes the film year

Best Picture of the Year

See Final Predictions 4/5 Thought that Walk the Line had more support than Munich as the soul big hit in the race.
Readers Choice -Brokeback destroyed the competition (a very distant second went to Crash).
See My Ballot 1/5 similar. Though I'm very fond of 2 (Brokeback & Good Night)
Long Story Short: Brokeback Mountain headed for this win.

RESULT: Oscar breaks with the past 77 years in history. Both Brokeback's loss and Crash's win are unprecedented happenings. No matter how much anyone tries to tell you differently... (more on the whole debacle here)

Check out ongoing Oscar thoughts @ the Countdown * Major Oscar Discussion The Symposium


Final Note * March 2nd, 2006:
If Brokeback were to lose --which would be a total miracle (and not a good one)-- I would probably need to be hospitalized. I'm very used to the Oscars not going to my favorite film of the year. Happens all the time. I'm completely new to this feeling of anger that comes with backing the favorite and having to watch all the attacks happening. (More on my feelings about the supposed Crash "surge" earlier here...)

Earlier February, I wrote
So here we are.

In the end Munich, Steven Spielberg's tense exploration of the Munich Olympic massacre aftermath, pulled out of its PR tailspin to win the coveted nomination from Walk the Line. Still, the Oscars are to-be-owned by the great Ang Lee gay tragic romance Brokeback Mountain which leads with 8 nominations. It's also soon to have the highest gross of the Best Picture pack and be the most profitable. Currently Crash, Paul Haggis' word-of-mouth hit on racism in LA film has that distinction. But Brokeback Mountain is less than $1 million behind at the theaters and still widening. Heath and Jake's forbidden romance will soon have quintupled its production costs at the box office and will obviously be pulling in millions more with Oscar's free advertising.

The big story this year? Political content. With the exception of Capote, the latest member of Oscar's extensive family tree --make that forest, family forest-- of biopic nominees from its 78 year lifespan, all of the films are political statements of some sort. Though Brokeback is currently at the center of America's tiresome debate about homosexuality

[You know the one. The debate about whether or not homos are worthy of the same rights, love, and happiness as other people --Duh! What is there even to debate about? A more valuable debate would be "why are we still debating this and what can we do, as a society, about the huge factions of people who refuse to acknowledge the inherent equality of others and will always fight for a tiered misery-producing social structure. What should we do as a society about the people who don't want a kind and inclusive society?" That's the debate we oughta be having people. / End Rant ]

... it's actually the least overtly political film in the mix beyond Capote. Crash has very obvious messaging as does George Clooney's Good Night, and Good Luck. which explores the war between civil rights threating government forces (sound familiar?) and a passionate journalist willing to stand against their climate of fear. And finally we're back again to Munich, which wants us to debate the direction of politics in reaction to terrorism.

All in all, this is an abnormally meaty/thinky lineup for the good folks at the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Key:
Box Office Rank comes from box office mojo's yearly chart . Critical Rank comes from the year end topten list chart from geninn My grade comes from reviews or screenings detailed here

Brokeback Mountain
(Focus Features)

Capote
(Sony Pictures Classics)
Crash
(Lions Gate)

Goodnight, and Good Luck.
(Warner Independent Pictures)
Munich
(Universal)
release: Dec 9th
running time: 134
box office rank: $76/28
critical rank: 01

review: A

precursor awards:
Most Critics Groups, GS, GG , BFCA , PGA, NBR & AFI Top Ten
synopsis:
Annie Proulx's prize winning short story about a romance between ranch hands.
release: Sept 30
running time: 98
box office rank: $23/104
critical rank: 04

review: B

precursor awards:
awards: Some Critics (Debut) AFI & NBR Top Ten
synopsis:
Truman Capote and the writing of In Cold Blood.
release: May 6th
running time: 113
box office rank: $53/49
critical rank: 06

review: B -

precursor awards:
HFF & BFCA & SAG (Ensemble) AFI & NBR Top Ten
synopsis:
Multi-narrative racial drama --lives and families collide.
release: Oct 7th
running time: 93
box office rank: $30/90
critical rank: 03

review: B+

precursor awards:
awards: NBR & AFI Top Ten
synopsis:
Edward Murrow takes on Senator McCarthy in this historical drama.
release: Dec 23rd
running time: 164
box office rank:
$46/64
critical rank: 09

review: B
-
precursor awards:
Some Critics
AFI & NBR Top Ten
synopsis:
The aftermath of the assassination of athletes at the 1972 Munich Olympics.
How'd They Get Nominated? (And Which Best Picture Slot Do They Fill?)
The Weepie (Plus Zeitgeist Hit)
45% A landmark drama (their favorite type) --great for history books.
17% Traditional filmmaking made buzzy by controversial topic. And vice versa (sorta).
11%
Surprising success -highest gross in lineup.
10 % Smart rollout.
9% Lush visuals.
5%
Ennis Del Mar

3% Lee's AMPAS fan club
A Double: Indie Spot & Biopic Tradition
40% PSH's star turn is the baitiest of all bait. Acting branch was undoubtedly salivating for a full 98 minutes.
25% Biopic = Oscar love quite often.
25%
Sturdy precursors and critical raves kept buzz steady for months.
10% Films starring the creative process tickle the Academy's fancy.
"Message" Movie & Contemporary Entry
49 % Oprah Winfrey. "Crash moment"
Zeitgeist bullseye.
26%
Crunchy topic on the outside with gooey uplifting center? That's sweet Oscar candy.

10%
Word of Mouth and critical hit in tandem.
10%
"Everyone's a Little Bit Racist" -White liberal guilt.
5% Actor friendly.
The "Message" Movie & Historical Piece
39% "Important" packed a 'prestige' punch.
22%
Contemporary message wrapped in historical safe distance.
16%
George Clooney, Hollywood's Prom King.
9%
Stickin' it to Bush and the right wing's divisive rhetoric. "We will not live in fear one of another."
8% Glorious black & white. Ahhh. Top techs.
6%
Inspirational.
The Pre-Ordained Contender Spot
65% pre-ordained spot due to Spielberg's pedigree -- how else to explain a film that didn't truly break out in any Oscar influencing areas (box office, precursors, critics) about a complex & depressing political topic (i.e. not Oscar bait) making it?
25% Lack of passion for its competitors.
10% Important subject
Also Nominated in the Following Categories
8 noms
Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Score
5 noms
Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay,
6 noms
Director, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Song, Editing
6 noms
Director, Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Direction
5 noms
Director, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Score
What Film/s Got Robbed?
David Cronenberg's A History of Violence, which reaped a Golden Globe Best Picture nod despite its genre trappings (as well as the respect of the nation's critics --second only to Brokeback Mountain in critical consensus) deserved to be placed here for posterity. But it was always a gun-toting mindf**k of a longshot. It was alwaystoo randy and subversive for typical Academy taste.
How'd I Do On My Predictions?
4/5. 80% correct. I missed Munich for Walk the Line, the only film in the running with big hit status. I figured Munich was neither one of the five most respected, the five most loved, or the five most successful so it would fall. But in the end it's pre-ordained "frontrunner" status (due to Steven Spielberg's pedigree) allowed it to hang on by its fingernails and keep the spot that they had basically reserved for it all year.
Who Should Win? Who Will Win?
In one of those rare and beautiful and to-be-savored cultural moments, the best film is the one that's actually winning the "best" prizes. Brokeback Mountain should and will enter the history books as Oscar's Best Picture of 2005. [See My Ballot for more]
Celebrity, Critical, or Blog/Press/Online Endorsements
Sasha Stone, Max Minghella, Harvey Weinstein
Factoids, Trivia, and "Did You Know?"s

Only9 films have won BP w/out an editing nom -But the categories most dangerous to miss are Screenplay (only 7 movies have won without this nod) & Director (only 3 movies have won after their director was snubbed).
*
The classification is arguable but if you consider this a "western" it's only the 12th to ever be nominated and would be the 4th to win
*
There have been other BP nominees with gay-vague relationships at their core, but this is the very first straight up gay romance ever nominated.
*
Ang Lee is already an Oscar-winning filmmaker. He won Best Foreign Film for Crouching Tiger in 2000.
*
Box Office Mojo tells us this is in the top five of gay themed pictures ever made.

Harper Lee (played by Catherine Keener) wrote the novel To Kill a Mockingbird which became a movie nom'ed in this category 33 years ago. Neither of Capote's books that were made into movies received BP noms.
*
Films about famous writers often get nominations and wins in the acting categories but only two have won the big prize [Shakespeare in Love (98), Out of Africa (85)]
*
Truman Capote only ever appeared in two movies. One was BP winner, Annie Hall (77) he played a look-alike of himself. He was a Globe nominee for the other, Murder By Death (76)
There's only five Best Picture winners with race relations as a major element, Driving Miss Daisy (89) In the Heat of the Night (67) West Side Story (61) Gentleman's Agreement (47) and Gone With the Wind (39) but it's a common theme for nominees.
*
Three members of this huge ensemble have been in a nominee before [Cheadle Traffic (00), Philippe Gosford Park (01), & Fichtner (Quiz Show (94)]
*
There were no repeat acting noms from last year (a rarity) Crash's writer/director Paul Haggis returns to the Screenplay lineup --he penned BP winner Million Dollar Baby last year.
1956 was the first year with an all color film lineup in Best Picture. 11 years later it happened again and since 1967, the year when AMPAS stopped separating b&w from color in its technical categories this is only the sixth B&W BP nominee. [The Last Picture Show (71), Lenny (74), The Elephant Man & Raging Bull (both in 1980), and Schindler's List (93) are the others]
*
Other nominees about television? Broadcast News (87) Quiz Show (94), The Insider (99) and Network (76). None have ever won.
*
There have been several movies on the McCarthy era but this is the first with Murrow and McCarthy as characters (outside of TV movies).
It's the longest of the nominees by a solid half hour. [Approximately 38% of Oscar winners are longer than 2 and 1/2 hours.] It's the only butt-number in competition.
*
This is the 7th time Spielberg has directed a Best Picture nominee--that puts him tied for 2nd place (ALL TIME) with Fred Zinneman & Frank Capra for the director with the most films reaching the shortlist. The great William Wyler is in 1st place leading 13 features to this particular glory.
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Films about gangsters and criminals are common but films with assassins as protagonists are less common (-a reader, Jeff, says "Wizard of Oz" Very funny, Jeff. ) The last time, Matthew reminds is the hitman and hitwoman of Prizzi's Honor (86) and there's also Pulp Fiction (94). All sorts of killer types therein.