OSCAR COMMENTARY
by Nathaniel R

 

OSCAR SYMPOSIUM & OSCAR COUNTDOWN & REVIEW
Because we're always out to kick it up a notch here @ the experience

The 78th Annual Oscars took place on March 5th, 2005

WINNERS ~ STARRED
as well as how I did on my predictions

PIC
Goodnight and...
(WIP)

Brokeback
(Focus)

Crash
(Lions Gate)

Capote
(SPC)

Munich
(Universal)

win: incorrect
nom: 4/5 correct

DIR
Miller
Capote

Spielberg
Munich

Lee
Brokeback Mountain

Haggis
Crash

Clooney
Good Night...

win: correct
nom: 4/5 corrent

ACTOR
Terrence Howard
Hustle & Flow

P.S. Hoffman
Capote

Heath Ledger
Brokeback Mountain

David Strathairn
Goodnight and...

Joaquin Phoenix
Walk the Line

win: correct
nom: 5/5 correct

ACTRESS
Keira Knightley
Pride & Prejudice

Judi Dench
Mrs. Henderson...

Charlize Theron
North Country

Felicity Huffman
Transamerica

Reese Witherspoon
Walk the Line

win: correct
nom: 3/5 correct

SUPP. ACTOR
Matt Dillon
Crash

Jake Gyllenhaal
Brokeback Mountain

George Clooney
Syriana

Paul Giamatti
Cinderella Man

William Hurt
A History of Violence

win: correct
nom: 4/5 correct

SUPP. ACTRESS
Amy Adams
Junebug

F. McDormand
North Country

Catherine Keener
Capote

Michelle Williams
Brokeback Mountain

Rachel Weisz
Constant Gardener

win: correct
nom: 4/5 correct

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Crash

Goodnight and...

Match Point

Squid and Whale

Syriana

win: correct
nom: 5/5 correct

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Brokeback

Capote

Constant Gard...

A History of...

Munich

win: correct
nom: 5/5 correct

Cinematography
Batman Begins
Pfister

Brokeback Mtn
Prieto

Goodnight and...
Elswit

 Memoirs of...
Geisha

The New World
Lubeski

win: incorrect
nom: 4/5 correct

Art Direction
Harry Potter &
Craig
King Kong
Major

Memoirs of a...
Myhre

Goodnight
Bissel

Pride & Prejudice
Greenwood

win: correct
nom: 3/5 correct

Costume Design
Walk the Line
Phillips

Memoirs ofGeisha
Atwood

Mrs. Henderson
Powell

Pride & Prejudice
Durran

Charlie&Chocolate
Pescucci

win: correct
nom: 4/5 correct

Editing
Cinderella Man
Hanley & Hill

Constant Gardener
Simpson

Crash
Winborne
Munich
Kahn

Walk the Line
McClusker

win: correct
nom: 3/5 correct

SCORE
Brokeback Mtn
Santaolalla

Constant Garden
Howard

Munich
Williams

Memoirs of ...
Williams

Pride & Prejudice
Marianelli

win: correct
nom: 2/5 correct

FOREIGN FILM
Italy
Don't Tell

France
Joyeux Noel

Germany
Sophie Scholl

Palestine
Paradise Now

South Africa
Tsotsi

win: incorrect
nom: 3/5 correct

SOUND
Narnia

 King Kong

War of Worlds

Walk the Line

Memoirs ofGeisha

win: incorrect
nom: 4/5 correct

SONG
Hustle & Flow

Crash

Transamerica

win: incorrect
nom: 3/3 correct

VISUAL fx
Narnia
King Kong

War of

win: correct
nom: 1/3 correct

MAKEUP
Narnia

Cinderella Man

SW Ep 3: RotS

win: correct
nom: 2/3 correct

SOUND fx EDITING
King Kong

Memoirs Geisha

War of Worlds

win: correct
nom: 2/3 correct

ANIMATED
Corpse Bride

Howl's Castle

Wallace & Gromit

win: correct
nom: 2/3 correct

DOCUMENTARY
Darwin Nightmare

Enron

March of ...

Murderball

Street Fight

win: correct
nom: 3/5 correct

Doc. Short
Death of Kevin...

God Sleeps...

Mushroom Club

 Note ofTriumph

win: incorrect
nom: 4/4 correct

Live Action Short
Ausreisser

Cashback

The Last Farm

Our Time is Up

 Six Shooter

win: incorrect
nom: 0/5 correct

Animated Short
Badgered

Moon & Sun

9

Mysterious Geo...

One Man Band

win: correct
nom: 3/5 correct

 

My final winner prediction statistics
7/8 or ???% of the big 8 categories.
15/19 or ???% if you include the other techs and minus the ones few predicts (foreign, shorts, etc...)
17/24 or ???% of everything.

My nomination prediction statistics (did some problematic math earlier)
34/40 or 85% of the main categories.
64/85 or 75% if you include the other techs and minus the ones no one predicts (foreign, shorts, etc...)
77/109 or 71% of EVERYTHING. Even the shorts and foreign and doc. Every freaking category.

and a fun note...
my year in advance predictions. before we know anything at all. I scored
9/40 or 22% of the nominations. Pretty standard for me.
26/90 or 28% of all the nominations including foreign (minus shorts and docs -no info at all)

8 noms
Brokeback (3 wins)
6 noms
Crash (3 wins)
Goodnight and...
Memoirs(3 wins)
5 noms
Capote (1 win)
Munich
Walk the Line (1 win)

4 noms
 Constant Gardener (1 win) King Kong (3 win)
Pride & Prejudice
3 nominations
Chronicles Narnia (1 nom)
War of Worlds
2 nominations
A History of... Cinderella Man

2 nominations
Hustle & Flow (1 win)
Mrs Henderson
North Country
Syriana (1 win)
TransAmerica
1 nomination
Charlie&Chocolate...
Revenge of Sith
Corpse Bride
Howls Moving Castle
Harry Potter

1 nomination
Batman Begins
Match Point
Junebug
The New World
W& G (1 win)
Squid & Whale
total snub
Producers, In Her Shoes, Shopgirl, Upside of Anger, 2046, Grizzly Man