OSCAR PREDICTIONS

by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT!

_Argentina_ _to_ _Finland

FOREIGN COUNTRIES -OSCAR RECORDS / 2005 -LAST YEAR'S RACE


10/19/06 THIS IS THE OFFICIAL LIST. ACADEMY VERIFIED

DISCUSS THIS OSCAR RACE ON THE BLOG

Algeria
3 noms/ 1 win
Indigènes (Days of Glory)
d. Rachid Bouchareb
official site
Argentina
5 noms / 1 win
Family Law (Derecho de Familia)
d. Daniel Burman
official site
Australia
never nominated
Ten Canoes
d. Rolf de Heer
official site
Austria
1 nomination
You Bet Your Life
d. Antonin Svoboda
0fficial site

Bangladesh
never nominated
Forever Flows (Nirontor?)
d. Abu Sayeed
official site?

The Weinstein Co TBA
IFC -Dec 2006
Palm Pictures
TBA
no US distributor
no US distributor
details
120 min (French, Arabic)
starring
Jamel Debbouze (Amelie), Samy Naceri (The Code), Roschdy Zem (Alias Betty), Sami Bouajila (The Adventures of Felix)
synopsis

A WW II story about North African men fighting Nazi oppression.
misc info
Like Volver's "Best Actress", this film won Best Actor at Cannes for its men. Boucharbe has been nominated in this category previously for Dust of Life (1983)
academy reaction:
Screening 12/18

details
102 min (Spanish)
starring
Daniel Hendler (Lost Embrace), Eloy Burman and
Arturo Goetz
synopsis

A lawyer grieves for his father while trying to find himself.

not selected
Crónica de una fuga starring de la Serna (Motorcycle Diaries) and Echarri (Burnt Money) site which had been picked up by The Weinstein Co El custodio, starring Chávez (A Red Bear) and Sofacama, with everyone's favorite screen Argentine, Cecilia Roth.
academy reaction:
Screening 12/18

details
90 min (Ganalbingu)
starring
Jamie Gulpilil
synopsis

"Dayindi covets one of the wives of his brother. To teach him, he is told a story... of wrong love, kidnapping, sorcery, bungling mayhem and revenge gone wrong."
misc info
First Aussie film entirely in an indigenous language
academy reaction:
Screening 12/09
details
98 min (German)
starring
Georg Friedrich (Time of the Wolf) Birgit Minichmayr (Downfall, Perfume)
synopsis

"A compulsive gambler is forced to take a chance with his own life."
misc info
...
academy reaction:
Screening 10/28
details
? min (Bengali)
starring
Shabnoor, Ilias Kanchon, Litu Anam, Dolly Zahoor, Jayanto Chattyopadhyay, Amirul Islam, Shahidul Islam Sachchu
synopsis

The story of Tithi, a sex worker
misc info
Based on novel Janam Janam by Humayun Ahmed
academy reaction:
Screening 01/10
Belgium
5 nominations
Someone Else's Happiness
d. Fien Troch
official site
Bolivia
never nominated
American Visa
d. Juan Carlos Valdivia
official site
Bosnia Hersegovina
1 nom / 1 win
Grbavica
d. Jasmila Zbanic
official site

Brazil
4 nominations
Movies, Aspirin, and Vultures
d. Marcelo Gomes
official sitee

Bulgaria
never nominated
Monkeys in Winter (Maimuni prez zimata)
d. Milena Andonova
official site?
no US distributor
no US distributor
no US distributor
Global Film Initiative
no US distributor

details
98 min (Dutch)
starring
Ina Geerts, Johanna ter Steege
synopsis

A drama about a town's reactions to the hit & run death of a child.
misc info
Troch is a debuting director --only 28 years old.
not selected:
La Raison du plus Faible (Belvaux) and Tangier (Van Mechelen)
academy reaction:
Screening 11/03

details
min (Spanish)
starring
Demián Bichir and
Kate del Castillo
synopsis

A Bolivian professor denied a visa turns to crime and falls in love with a prostitute.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
Screening

details
90 min (Bosnian)
starring
Mirjana Karanovic (When Father Was Away on Business)
synopsis

A mother and daughter struggle through life in Sarajevo’s Grbavica neigborhood.
misc info
Winner of three awards at the Berlin Int'l Film Festival. The director was a once a puppeteer. This is her feature-length debut
academy reaction:
Screening 11/17

details
99 min (German & Portugese)
starring
João Miguel and Peter Ketnath
synopsis
"A road movie about a German man who went to the North East of Brazil in the 1942 to sell Aspirin."
misc info
This is the first full length theatrical feature from Gomes.
not selected

1o finalists: Zuzu Angel , O Maior Amor do Mundo, Anjos do Sol, Cafundó, A Máquina, Depois Daquele Baile , Bens Confiscados, Irma Vap - O Retorno, Doutores da Alegria , Estamira, Tapete Vermelho and Vida de Menina
academy reaction:
Screening
details
111 min (Bulgarian)
starring
Bonka Ilieva-Boni, Diana Dobreva, and Angelina Slavova
synopsis

Three separate tragedy tinged tales of mothers or mothers-to-be.
misc info
This is a feature debute for Andonova.
academy reaction:
Screening 12/11
Canada
3 noms / 1 win
Water
d. Deepa Mehta
official site
Chile
never nominated
En La Cama
(The Bed)

d. Matias Bize
more info
China
1 nomination
Curse of the Golden Flower
d. Zhang Yimou
Trailer
official site
Colombia
never nominated
A Ton of Luck
(Soñar no cuesta nada ?
)
d. Rodrigo Triana
Croatia
never nominated

Libertas
d. Veljko Bulajic
making of
already on DVD
Intramovies -TBA
Sony Pictures Classics Dec 2006
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
114 min (Hindi) * Previously this film would have been ineligible but the Academy abolished the rule that the language must be indigenous to the country submitting.
starring
Lisa Ray and
Seema Biswas
synopsis

The story of a group of poverty-stricken widows under 30s British rule during the rise of Gandhi.
misc info
Currently in the top five foreign hits of the year in the US, just ahead of last year's winner Tsotsi.
not selected:
Philippe Falardeau's Congorama, starring Olivier Gourmet (The Son)
academy reaction:
Screening
details
85 min (...)
starring
Gonzalo Valenzuela & Blanca Lewin
synopsis

One intimate night in the lives of two strangers.
misc info
Festival prizes and praise for its two actors. Variety described it as an "elegantly simple, Richard Linklater-esque concept"
not selected
Se Arrienda (Fuguet), Horcon (Goncalves), El Bano (Cohen), Fuga (Larrain), La Sagrada Familia (Campos), Kiltro (Diaz), and El Rey de los Huevones (Quercia)
academy reaction:
Screening 12/02

details
? min (Mandarin)
starring
Asian superstars Gong Li and Chow Yun Fat
synopsis

An imperial bodyguard and a prince
misc info
This film marks the reunion of Gong Li with director Zhang Yimou, her former lover and with whom she rocketed to international fame in the early 90s with Oscar nominees Raise the Red Lantern, Ju Dou, and Shanghai Triad
academy reaction:
Screening 01/06
details
85 min (Spanish)
starring
Diego Cadavid,
Manuel Jose Chavez , Veronica Orozco, Carolina Ramirez --several members of the cast are soap stars.
synopsis

"a battalion of Colombian soldiers stumble upon buried loot."
misc info
A drama based on a true story. It's been a big hit in Colombia.
academy reaction:
Screening 12/01

details
? min (Italian, Serbo-Croatian)
starring
Sven Medvesek and
Sandra Ceccarelli
synopsis

A biographical drama about a man ahead of his time, Marino Darsa, who wrote comedies 60 years before Shakespeare.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
Screening 01/10

Cuba
1 nomination
El Benny
d. Jorge Luis Sanchez
official site
Czech Republic
8 noms / 3 wins
Lunacy (Sileni)
d. Jan Svankmajer
official site

Denmark
6 noms / 2 wins
After the Wedding
d. Susanne Bier
official site
Egypt
never nominated
The Yacoubian Building
d. Marwan Hamed

oofficial site
Finland
1 nomination

Lights in the Dusk
d. Aki Kaurismaki
official site
no US distributor
distribution?
IFC Films -TBA
no US distributor
no US distribution
details
132 min (Spanish)
starring

Renny Arozarena, Enrique Molina, Mario Guerra, Carlos Ever Fonseca, Limara Meneses
synopsis

"a film that honors Benny More, one of the icons of the island's music"

misc info
It's a musical biopic but it focuses on a specific period of Benny's life, the 1950s. Read more about Benny Moré
academy reaction: Screening
details
121 min (Czech)
starring
Pavel Liska, Jan Triska, Anna Geislerovå, Jaroslav Dusek, Martin Huba
synopsis

a man plagued by horrifying nightmares enters an even scarier asylum.
misc info
Svankmajer, who often mixes live action with stop motion animation,is the surrealist master behind Little Otik, Conspirators of Pleasure and Faust
academy reaction:
Screening 12/04
details
120 min (Danish, Swedish, Hindi, English)
starring
Mads Mikkelsen (Adams Apple, Casino Royale, King Arthur)
synopsis

The manager of an orphanage discovers a family secret.
misc info
Two years back they passed over Susanne Bier's Brothers. Thankfully they didn't repeat the mistake
not selected:
Christoffer Boe had two films, Allegro and Offscreen and there was a family film Drømmen.
academy reaction:
Screening 12/01
details
161 min (Arabic)
starring
Adel Imam,
Nour El-Sherif,
and Youssra
synopsis

This is an epic about the residents of a particular building.
misc info
Though it's a hit, the movie has enflamed public opinion. Deals w/ the government, homosexuality, religious fund-amentalism and drug use. The film is from a debut 20something director.
academy reaction:
Screening 12/15

KAURISMAKI has asked that his film be withdrawn. The Academy wants to talk him out of it.

details
78 min (Finnish / Russian)
starring
Janne Hyytiäinen (The Man Without a Past)
synopsis

"A lonely night watchman is caught up in misadventures with a femme fatale and a crooked businessman"
misc info
Kaurismaki previously gave Finland their only nomination in this category for the droll and quite satisfying comedy The Man Without a Past
academy reaction:
Screening 10/21
 

Readers who contributed:
Abhinav, A.D., Alberto, Aldo, Alexander, Ali, Alvaro, Andres, Andrew, Arietro, Armando, Boyd, Carsten, César, Christian, Cristian, Dario, David, Eduardo, Elka, Emily, Engin, Grace, Irvin, Israel, Jason, Karoll, Ken, Kevin, Klemen, Krister, Lyn, Macoco, Manolis, Marc, Marcelo, Marco, Marcos, Mauricio, Michael, Mickey, Mikkel, Montse, Nedim, Orlando, Ralph, Ramon, Rodney, Ronald, Ryan, Sagun, Sébastien, Sid, Sina, Stoeker, Uri, WZ, and Yonatan


Notable but not submitted:

Invisible Waves (Thailand) Requiem (Germany) Mezcal (Mexico) Alatriste (Spain) 12:08 East of Bucharest (Romania) The Host (Korea), Time (Korea), Aviva My Love (Israel) Zuzu Angel (Brazil)

Apparent Academy Rejections / Disqualifications

(Announced as submitting but does not appear on the final list)

My Name is Justine (Luxembourg)

Countries that did not submit this year
South Africa -Last Years Winner


Next: FRANCE through NEPAL