OSCAR PREDICTIONS

by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT!

 

_Netherlands_ _to_ _Vietnam_

 

10/19/06 THIS IS THE OFFICIAL LIST. ACADEMY VERIFIED

DISCUSS THIS OSCAR RACE ON THE BLOG

Netherlands
5 noms/ 0 wins
Zwartboek
(Black Book)
d. Paul Verhoeven
official site

Norway
5 noms/ 0 wins
Reprise
d. Joachim Trier
official site
Peru
never nominated
Madeinusa
d. Claudia Llosa 
official site
?
Phillipines
never nominated
The Blossoming of Maximo Oliveros
d. Auraeus Solito
official site
Poland
7 noms / 0 wins
Z odzysku (Retreival)
d. Slawomira Fabickiego
official site ?
Sony Pictures Classics TBA
no US distribution
no US distribution
Unitel Pictures
Now Playing
no US distribution
details
135 min (Dutch / English / German)
starring
Carice van Houten,
Sebastian Koch,
Thom Hoffman,
Halina Reijn and
Derek de Lint
synopsis

In WW II a Jewish singer survives a massacre and joins the resistance in The Netherlands.
misc info
Despite WWII angle, said to be as outré as you'd expect from Verhoeven.
academy reaction:
Screening 01/03
details
105 min (Norwegian)
starring

Anders Danielsen Lie,
Espen Klouman-Høiner (Just Bea), Viktoria Winge, Henrik Elvestad, Christian Rubeck (Millions)
synopsis

...
misc info
This is the young directors feature debut but his shorts have travelled the fresival route in previous years.
academy reaction:

Screening 01/13
details
122 min (Spanish)
starring
Magaly Solier, Yiliana Chong, Carlos de la Torre
synopsis

A young woman named "madeinusa" falls for a gringo in this American Western flavored tale of a Peruvian village.
misc info
Took the audience prize and 2nd place for Best First Film @ "elcine" (Latin American film festival)
not selected
Mariposa negra (Black Butterfly) by Francisco J. Lombardi.
academy reaction:
Screening
details
100 min (Filipino, Tagalog)
starring
Nathan Lopez & Soliman Cruz
synopsis

The story of a 12 year old gay boy with a crush on a policeman.
misc info
Popular at festivals, most notably it won three awards at the Berlin Int'l Film Festival
academy reaction:
Screening
details
103 min (Polish)
starring
Marek Bielecki,
Jacek Braciak,
Michal Filipiak
synopsis

A teenage boxer struggles to support his Ukranian girlfriend.
misc info
...
not selected
Dorota's Kedzierzawska's Jesten (I Am),Marek Koterski's We're all Christs and Krzysztof Krauze's Saviour Square (compared to Mike Leigh)  
academy reaction:
Screening 12/09
Portugal
never nominated

Alice
d. Marco Martin
more info
Puerto Rico
1 nomination

Thieves and Liars
d. Poli Marichal and Ricardo Mendez Matta
official site
Romania
never nominated
The Way I Spent the End of the World
d. Catalin Mitulescu
official site?
Russia
13 noms / 4 wins

9th Company
d. Fyodor Bondarchuk
official site
Serbia
never nominated

Tomorrow Morning (Sutra Ujutru)
d. Oleg Novkovic
official site ?
no US distribution
US distribution?
Metropolis Film TBA
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
? min (Portugese)
starring
Nuno Lopes
synopsis

"The story of a father who installs cameras all over Lisbon, desperately trying to find a trace of his missing daughter Alice."
misc info
Martin was nominated for the Fassbinder prize at the European Film Awards.
academy reaction:
Screening 12/04
details
114 min (Spanish, English)
starring
Steven Bauer, Elpidia Carrillo, Daniel Lugo, Magda Rivera, Lymari Nadal, Dennis Mario
synopsis

An ensemble drama about three families which explores corruption in Puerto Rico.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
Screening
details
106 min (Romanian)
starring
Doroteea Petre
synopsis

A coming of age story about schoolmates in Communist Romania.
misc info
Exec produced by Martin Scorsese. TIFF review from Cinematical
not selected
12:08 East of Bucharest
academy reaction:
Screening 01/06
details
130 min (Russian)
starring
Fyodor Bondarchuk,
Aleksei Chadov (Night Watch),
Mikhail Evlanov
synopsis

Young soldiers embroiled in bloody war in Afghanistan
misc info
...
academy reaction:
Screening 11/06
details
85 min (Serbo-Croatian)
starring
Uliks Fehmiu, Nebojsa Glogovac, Nada Sargin
synopsis

A man returns to Belgrade to get married and reunites with old friends
misc info
Won a "special mention" at the Karlovy festival
academy reaction:
Screening 11/11
Slovenia
never nominated
Gravehopping
d. Jan Cvitkovic
official site
Spain
19 noms / 4 wins
Volver
d. Pedro Almodovar
official site


Sweden
14 noms / 3 wins
Falkenberg, Farewell!
d. Jesper Ganslandt
more info
Switzerland
5 noms / 2 wins
Vitus
d. Fredi M Murer
official site

Taiwan
3 noms / 1 win
Blue Cha Cha
d. Chen Wen-Tang
official site

no US distribution
SPC -Now Playing
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
103 min ()
starring
Gregor Bakovic
synopsis

A dramedy about a eulogist and other eccentric "Fellini-esque" characters.
misc info
...
academy reaction:
Screening
details
121 min (Spain)
starring
Pedro muses Carmen Maura (Women on the Verge), Penelope Cruz (All About my Mother), and Lola Duenas (Talk to Her)
synopsis

Another melodrama of mothers and daughters from the Spains cinematic god.
misc info
...
not selected
Alatriste (which stars Viggo Mortensen) and Salvador were the two finalists.
academy reaction:
Screening 10/29
details
91 min (Swedish)
starring
Holger Eriksson
David Johnson
John Axel Eriksson
Jörgen Svensson
Jesper Ganslandt
synopsis

Five childhood friends in a seaside town must grow up.
misc info
...
not selected
...
academy reaction:
Screening 11/18
details
100 min (Swiss German)
starring
Bruno Ganz (The Downfall, Youth Without Youth)
synopsis

A family's dreams for their young gifted boy to become a pianist.
misc info
a "heartwarmer" and they do love movies about old men and young children in this category. * Won the audience award at the AFI Fest
academy reaction:
Screening 10/30

details
108 min (Mandarin, Taiwanese)
starring

Tarcy Su (a popular singer) and Yi-Ching Lu (The Wayward Cloud)

Thailand
never nominated
Ahimsa: Stop to Run (Ahingsa Jikko Mee Gam)

d. Leo Kittikorn
Turkey
never nominated
Dondurmam Gaymak (Ice
Cream, I Scream
)
d. Yüksel Aksu
official site?
Ukraine
never nominated

Aurora
d. Oxana Bayrak
official site
Venezuela
never nominated
Maroa
d. Solveig Hoogesteijn
site?
Vietnam
1 nomination
Pao's Story (Chuyen cua Pao)
d. Bui Thac Chuyen
Golden Kite Awards
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution

details
90 min (Thai)
starring
Boriwat Yuto
synopsis

a lowlife in contemporary Thailand is followed by a mysterious man in red.
misc info
Said to be a highly bizarre film.
not selected
Katanaruang's
Invisible Waves (Palm Pictures -site)
it was originally announced as the Thai pick.
academy reaction:
Screening 11/10

details
107 min (Turkish)
starring
Turan Ozdemir
synopsis

A comedy about an ice cream salesman whose bike is stolen by kids.
misc info
debuting director
not selected
Babam ve Oglum (My Father and My Son) a heartwarmer (the second biggest Turkish hit ever). Nuri Bilge Ceylan's Climates wherein the director stars with his own wife in a relationship drama --FIPRESCI, Cannes. Reha Erdem's Times & Winds and the historical
comedy Killing the Shadows.
academy reaction:
Screening 01/13
details
min (Russian, Ukranian, English)
starring
Nastya Zyurkalova Dmitry Kharatyan and Eric Roberts
synopsis

A young orphan accidentally becomes a witness of the explosion and fire at the Chernobyl APP and is sent to an American hospital for radiation treatment and her presence helps revive an older Russian man.
misc info
...
not selected
...
academy reaction:
...
details
102 min (Spanish)
starring
Tristan Ulloa (Sex & Lucia) & Yorlis Dominguez
synopsis
An 11-year-old girl raised in a violent environment becomes fascinated by music at her reform school.
not selected
Borrador (Rough Draft) by Jacobo Penzo, El Caracazo by Roman Chalbaud,
El Don by Jose Ramon Novoa, Francisco de Miranda by Diego Rísquez and Habana, Havana by Alberto Arvelo
academy reaction:
Screening 10/27
details
min (...)
starring
Do Thi Hai Yen (The Quiet American), Nhu Quynh
synopsis

...
misc info
interesting article on Vietnam cinema.
not selected
De Muon (Surrogate Womb), Hai Trong Mot (Two In One) and Song trong so hai (Living in Fear)
academy reaction:
Screening 12/16
 

Readers who contributed:
Abhinav, A.D., Alberto, Aldo, Alexander, Ali, Alvaro, Andres, Andrew, Arietro, Armando, Boyd, Carsten, César, Christian, Cristian, Dario, David, Eduardo, Elka, Emily, Engin, Grace, Irvin, Israel, Jason, Jeff, Karoll, Ken, Kevin, Klemen, Krister, Lyn, Macoco, Manolis, Marc, Marcelo, Marco, Marcos, Mauricio, Michael, Mickey, Mikkel, Montse, Nedim, Orlando, Ralph, Ramon, Rodney, Ronald, Ryan, Sagun, Sébastien, Sid, Sina, Stoeker, Uri, WZ, and Yonatan


Notable but not submitted:

Invisible Waves (Thailand) Requiem (Germany) Mezcal (Mexico) Alatriste (Spain) 12:08 East of Bucharest (Romania) The Host (Korea), Time (Korea), Aviva My Love (Israel) Zuzu Angel (Brazil)

Apparent Academy Rejections / Disqualifications

(Announced as submitting but does not appear on the final list)

My Name is Justine (Luxembourg)

Countries that did not submit this year
South Africa -Last Years Winner