OSCAR RACE 2007

commentary by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT!

the contestants * how the game works * original 'helper' list
may the most psychic contestant win

POINT TOTALS SO FAR

The Collective Predictions & Points of Interest

If two heads are better than one, than surely one hundred heads are more than spectacular. One hundred and twelve readers voted in the first (annual?) year in advance Oscar psychic contest. Nine months later they'll find out who made the most beautiful prediction baby.

The collectively created Oscar nomination prediction is... [drumroll please]

 

Cate Blanchett
The Golden Age
Julie Christie
Away From Her
Angelina Jolie
A Mighty Heart
Nicole Kidman
Margot at the Wedding
Natalie Portman
The Other Boleyn Girl


Cate Blanchett's second take on Queen Elizabeth was the only performance on more than 50% of the ballots. Christie's alzheimer's patient and Kidman's wedding guest were on about a third of all ballots each, way ahead of the pack. Jolie's war journalism widow & Portman as Queen's Elizabeth's mom both just barely made the collective shortlist, pulling ahead of four women, two of whom are already Oscar winners... (listed in descending order of ballot strength)


 
Marion Cotillard
La Vie En Rose
Vanessa Redgrave Evening
Helena Bonham-Carter
Sweeney Todd
Meryl Streep Lions for Lambs
 


Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose) was actually tied with Natalie Portman so for a tiebreaker I figured Natalie had several other votes for Goya's Ghost.

Other items of interest:

* The final six women in your top 20 "most likely to" are Halle Berry, Catherine Keener, Keira Knightley, Laura Linney, Julianne Moore and Naomi Watts.

*Atonement and Evening were the most confusing film for predictions with three different actresses receiving prediction votes for each. Vanessa Redgrave placed on ballots for both films.

* 66 different performances were cited with 33% of those only landing on a singular ballot. You just didn't want to make the point tracking easy on this contest runner, did you?

* The most popular write-in vote for a performance I did not list in the helper pages of possibilities was Summer Bishil who has the lead role in a new Alan Ball (Six Feet Under) film called Nothing is Private.

* The most popular vote for someone I predicted "supporting categorization" for was Julia Roberts in Charlie Wilson's War. We'll see.

* Sigourney Weaver was doing double duty throughout voting. She's the only actress who received an equal amount of votes for two different films. You just couldn't decide (collectively speaking) whether she had better chances for playing an autistic woman in Snowcake or a traumatized mother in The Girl in the Park.

* I listed 50+ women in the helper sheet and these eleven are the only ones who received NO votes (so I won't be tracking them): Drew Barrymore, Juliette Binoche, Penelope Cruz, Katherine Heigl, Samantha Morton, Sarah Jessica Parker, Parker Posey, Dakota Blue Richards, Hilary Swank, "She Who Must Not Be Named" and Catherine Zeta-Jones.

 

Got Something To Say?
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How Does This Work Again?
Here is the point system and the actress cheat sheet list and the 112 contestant ballots

Stay Tuned!
The Film Experience "year in advance" Oscar preview and predictions begins on March 26th and conclude on April 1st.

 




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