OSCAR PREDICTIONS

by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT

Predictions Index
The Official Contenders
Argentina to Finland / France to Mexico / The Netherlands to Vietnam

_Argentina
_to_
_Finland_

FOREIGN COUNTRIES -OSCAR RECORDS / 2006 -LAST YEAR'S RACE

10/17 Updated: THIS IS IT. THE OFFICIAL 63 CONTENDERS discuss on the blog

 
Argentina
5 noms / 1 win
XXY
d. Lucía Puenzo
official site

Australia
never nominated
The Home Song Stories
d. Tony Ayres
official site
Austria
1 nomination
Counterfeiters
d. Stefan Ruzowitzky
0fficial site
Azerbaijan
never nominated
Caucasia
d. Farid Gumbatov

Bangladesh
never nominated
Swopnodanay (On the Wings of Dreams)
d. Golam Rabbany Biplob
official site

no US distributor
no US distributor
SPC -Dec 2007
no US distributor
no US distributor
details
86 min (Spanish)
starring
Ricardo Darin (a regular in Argentina's submissions) and Ines Efron
synopsis

the struggles of a hermaphrodite teen
misc info
related post
not selected
La Senal directed by the aforementioned actor Ricardo Darin but it was a flop in Argentina. There was also La Antena (a tribute to silent films) and Encarancion

details
103 min ()
starring
JOAN CHEN!
synopsis

A Shanghai singer raises her children in 70s Australia
misc info
...

details
98 min (German)
starring
Karl Markovics, August Diehl, Devid Striesow
synopsis

a true story of an enormous Nazi counterfeiting operation
misc info
based on the book "The Devil's Workshop"

details
...
starring
...
synopsis

...
misc info
...
details
88 min (Bangla)
starring
Mahmuduzzaman Babu and Rokeya Prachy
synopsis

in a harsh region of dry rugged land in Bangladesh a man's life is changed when he finds money in the second hand pants he bought
misc info
this is the director's debut. He previously founded the International Bangladesh Film Festival
Belgium
5 nominations
Ben X
d. Nick Balthazar
official site
Bosnia Hersegovina
1 nom / 1 win
It's Hard to be Nice
d. Srdan Vuletic
official site?
Brazil
4 nominations
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation
d. Cao Hamburger
official site
Bulgaria
never nominated
Warden of the Dead
d. Ilian Simienov
Canada
4 noms / 1 win
L'Age des Tenebres (Days of Darkness)
d. Denys Arcand
more info
no US distributor
no US distributor
City Light Pictures -TBA
no US distributor
his films get US releases -no word yet on when

details
90 min (Dutch)
starring
Greg Timmermans (a theater actor in his film debut)
synopsis

An autistic teen becomes obsessive about Archlord, an online role playing game in order to escape from his unhappy school life
misc info
This is the director's feature film debut. He used to be a theater and film critic

details
? min (Serbo-Croatian)
starring
Sasa Petrovic and Senad Basic
synopsis

???
misc info
???
not selected:
Mum and Dad and Skies Above the Landscape

details
104 min (Portugese & Yiddish)
starring
Michel Joelsas (lead, debut)
synopsis

a 12 year old boy, obsessed with World Cup in 1970s Brazil, is sent to Sao Poala without his parents to live in a Jewish community
not selected
The big buzzfinalists that missed were Antonia, Tropa de Elite and City of God follow up Cidade dos Homens The other finalists were: As Historias das Tres Marias, Prohibido Prohibir, Saneamento Basico, Tres Irmaos de Sangue, O Cheiro do ralo,or O Ceu de Suely

details
105 min (Bulgarian)
starring
Samuel Fintzi,
Itzhak Finzi,
Nikolai Urumow
synopsis

a drama with supernatural elements about a 13 year old orphan who grew up in and runs a cemetery
misc info
...
not selected
Investigation and three other finalists
details
104 min (French)
starring
Marc Labreche (lead), Diane Kruger and Rufus Wainwright
synopsis

a civil servant escapes reality with his fantastical imagination
misc info
Arcand is a favorite in this category, responsible for 75% of Canada's noms and its only win (The Barbarian Invasions)
Chile
never nominated
Padre Nuestro
d. Rodrgio Sepulveda
official site
China
1 nomination
The Knot
d. Yin Li
Colombia
never nominated
Satanás
d. Andrés Baiz
official site
Croatia
never nominated
Armin
d. Ognjen Svilicic
official site
Cuba
1 nomination
La Edad de la Peseta (The Silly Age)
d. Pavel Giroud
official site
no US distributor
no US distribution
no US distributor
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
...
starring
Jaime Vadell,
Luis Gnecco,
Francisco Pérez-Bannen and
Cecilia Roth
not selected:

Casa de Remolienda , Fiesta Patria, Malta con Huevo, La Vida Me Mata, Pecado and
Radio Corazon
details
...
starring
...
not selected:

The Sun Also Rises
details
95 min (Spanish)
starring
Damián Alcázar (no stranger to this category having appeared in nominee The Crime of Father Amaro and submission Cronicas), Marcela Mar, Blas Jaramillo, Teresa Gutierrez
synopsis

based on Mario Mendoza's best seller about the Pozzetto Massacre
misc info
an interlocking stories narrative involving a hustler, a teacher, and a priest
details
82 min (German, Serbo-Croatian, English)
starring
Emir Hadzihafisbegovic (a famous Bosnian actor --also in the Bosnian submission Grbavica last year) and Armin Omerovic play father and son
synopsis

a father takes his only son to an audition in Croatia for a movie about the Balkan conflict

not selected
Everything for Free

details
90 min (Spanish)
starring
Mercedes Sampietro (once the president of Spanish Acadeny of Motion Pictures), Iván Carreira (lead, debut)
synopsis

Set during the Castro revolution, its a coming of age story story of a young boy and his mother starting a new life in Havana
misc info
The Silly Age refers to the post-toddler / pre-teen years

Czech Republic
8 noms / 3 wins
I Served the King of England
d. Jiri Menzel
official site
Denmark
7 noms / 2 wins
The Art of Crying
d. Peter Schønau Fog
official site
Egypt
never nominated
In the Heliopolis Flat
d. Mohamed Khan
Estonia
never nominated
The Class
d. Ilmar Raag
official site
Finland
1 nomination
A Man's Job
d. Aleksi Salmenperä
official site
SONY PICTURES CLASSICS -tba
no US distributor
no US distributor
no US distributor
no US distributor
details
120 min (Czech)
starring
Ivan Barnev, Oldrich Kaiser, Julia Jentsch, Martin Huba and István Szabó (the director of Being Julia and foreign film winner Mephisto)
synopsis

a movie that centers on a hotel in Prague
misc info
based on a novel
details
106 min (Danish)
starring
Jannik Lorenzen (lead, debut), Jesper Asholt, Hanne Hedelund
synopsis

a dark comedy about an 11 year old boy and his dysfunctional family
misc info
several prizes in the festival circuit
details
starring
Khaled Abu EL Naga, Ghada Adel and Ahmed Rateb
synopsis
the search for love and it's meaning"
details
99 min (Estonian)
starring
Vallo Kirs, Pärt Uusberg, Lauri Pedaja, Mikk Mägi and Paula Solvak
synopsis

A dark school drama said to be reminscent of the recent Swedish nominee Evil
misc info
...
details
97 min (Finnish)
starring
Tommi Korpela
synopsis

a dark comedy about an unemployed husband and father starts a side career in prostitution
misc info
This is the director's second film. He previously directed Producing Adults, which was also submitted for Oscar consideration
 
I couldn't do this without you
Boyd and DZONG

A huge round of applause for contributing readers:
Agustin, Aldo, Alvaro, Andre, Arietro, Cristian, Eduardo, Karol, Krister, John, Jordi,
Marco, Marcos, Mauricio, Meg, Nedim, Paxton, Pedro, Stine, Utada, WZ and Yonatan

Notable foreign films not chosen by their home country:

La Vie En Rose (France) The Diving Bell and Butterfly (France), A Girl Cut in Two (France),
Meduzot (Jellyfish) (Israel)

Academy Rejections / Disqualifications
(Announced as submitting but did not appear on the final list)
BOLIVIA Los Andes no creen en Dios (The Andes Don't Believe in God) * ISRAEL The Bands Visit *
TAIWAN Lust, Caution

Countries that did not submit this year
AFGHANISTAN, ALGERIA, MOROCCO, NEPAL, SOUTH AFRICA, UNITED KINGDOM


Next: FRANCE through MEXICO