OSCAR PREDICTIONS

by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT

Predictions Index
Contenders Thus Far
Argentina to Finland / France to Mexico / The Netherlands to Vietnam

_France_ _to_ _Mexico_

FOREIGN COUNTRIES -OSCAR RECORDS / 2006 -LAST YEAR'S RACE

10/17 Updated: THIS IS IT. THE OFFICIAL 63 CONTENDERS discuss on the blog

France
33 noms / 9 wins
Persepolis
d. Marjane Satrapi & Vincent Paronnaud
official site
Germany
14 noms / 3 wins
The Edge of Heaven
d. Fatih Akin
official site
Georgia
noms
Russian Triangle
d. Aleko Tsabadze
official site
Greece
5 noms / 0 wins
Eduart
d. Angeliki Antoniou
more info
Hong Kong
5 nominations
Exiled
d. Johnny To
official site
Sony Pictures Classics
Christmas 2007
STRAND -tba
no US distribution
no US distribution
Magnolia -Now Playing
details
95 min (French, Persian, German)
starring
it's an animated film
synopsis

A multicharacter drama centered around a theater --hence the title.
misc info
Based on the graphic novel
not selected
La Vie En Rose, A Girl Cut in Two, The Romance of Astree & Celadon

details
122 min (German, Turkish)
starring
Nurgul Yesilcay, Baki Davrak and Hanna Schygulla
synopsis

intertwining tales of German Turks, travels to Istanbul, and imprisonment in Turkey
misc info
Akin made the estimable Head On a few years ago (which was not selected by the Academy)
not selected
...

details
121 min (Russian)
starring
Artem Tkachenko, Konstantin Khabensky, Pyotr Mironov
synopsis

an ensemble drama about post-war city dwellers and murders
misc info
...
not selected
...
details
104 min (German, Greek, Albanian)
starring
Eshref Durmishi (lead, debut)
synopsis

A young Albanian man commits murder and eventual finds redemption in prison and confession
misc info
based on a true story It swept the awards at the Thessaloniki Film Festival
not selected
...
details
110 min (Cantonese)
starring
Nick Cheung, Roy Cheung, Josie Ho, Anthony Wong, Simon Yam
synopsis

Two hitmen are sent after another who is trying to reform with his wife and newborn
misc info
Filled with violent setpieces it's said to be a major adrenaline rush. But can it get Oscar's blood pumping?
not selected
...

Hungary
8 noms / 1 win
Taxidermia
d. György Pálfi
official site

Iceland
1 nomination
Jar City
d. Baltasar Kormákur
India
3 nominations
Eklavya
d.Vidhu Vinod Chopra
official site
Indonesia
never nominated

Denias, Singing on the Cloud
d John De Rantau
official site
Iran
1 nomination
M For Mother
d. Rasul Mollaqolipur
official site?
Tartan Films -TBA
IFC -TBA 2008
soon on DVD
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
91 min (Hungarian)
starring
Csaba Czene,
Gergely Trócsányi,
Piroska Molnár,
Adél Stanczel,
Marc Bischoff
synopsis

a triptych look at an embalmer of cats, an obese speed eater,and a man with a flame throwing penis
misc info
You know, you have to admire Hungary's chutzpah but they're never going to get a nomination if they keep revelling in the grotesque. Not AMPAS's bag obviously

details
91 min (Icelandic)
starring
Ingvar Eggert Siggurdson
synopsis

a crime thriller about a cop and two connected murders
not selected
Cold Trail, The Quiet Storm, Dorks & Damsels and Parents some from directors who have been submitted before.

details
105 min (Hindi)
starring
Amitabh Bachchan, Saif Ali Khan, Sanjay Dutt, Vidya Balan, Jackie Shroff
synopsis

an aged legendary bodyguard tries to protect a royal family and their secrets in the Kingdom of Devigarh
misc info
It's said to have epic sweep (which Oscar loves) and killer setpieces (which is less bait for Oscar than general audiences)
not selected
...

details
???
starring
Golshifteh Farahani and Hossein Yari
synopsis

parents deal with a son's ailment due to his mothers exposure from chemical weapons in the Iran- Iraq war of the 80s
misc info
this is a posthumous success. Director Mollaqolipur died this past March at 51 years of age
not selected
the finalists were Crossroads, Reward of Silence, It’s Winter, Somewhere Too Far, Mainline, Good Night Commander, and When Everybody Was Asleep

 
Iraq
never nominated

Jani Gal
d Jamil Rostami
Ireland
never nominated
Kings
d. Tom Collins
official site
Israel
6 nominations

Beaufort
d Eran Kolirin
official site
Italy
26 noms / 10 wins

La Sconosciuta (The Unknown Woman) d. Giuseppe Tornatore
official site
Japan
11 nominations
I Just Didn't Do It
d. Masayuki Suo
official site
no US distribution
panorama/BFS -tba
no US distribution
Outsider Pictures -Spring 2008
no US distribution

details
88/95 mins ? (Gaelic, English)
starring
Colm Meaney, Donal O'Kelly, Brendan Conroy
synopsis

a funeral brings a group of friends together again
misc info
based on the play by Jimmy Murphy


not selected
The other four "Ophir" nomineess were: Meduzot (Jellyfish), Noodle, My Father My Lord and the
submitted but rejected

The Band's Visit
details
118 (Italian)
starring
Xenia Rappoport
synopsis

a former prostitute is haunted by her pimp
misc info
Tornatore has already won the category once for Cinema Paradiso. The score is by the legendary Ennio Morricone
not selected
This film won the submission by only one vote (ahead of
My Brother Is an Only Child by Daniele Luchetti. The other finalists were: La ragazza del lago (The Girl of the Lake) by Andrea Molaioli; Rosso come il cielo (Red Like the Sky) by Cristiano Bortone;
Saturn Opposing by Ferzan Ozpetek; Black Sun by Krzysztof Zanussi.
details
143 min (Japanese)
starring
Ryo Kase, Asaka Seto, Kohji Yamamoto
synopsis

a young man, falsely accused of molestation, is presumed guilty in the Japanese court systems
misc info
from the director of Shall We Dance
Kazakhstan
never nominated
Mongol
d. Sergei Bodrov
official site
Korea
never nominated
Secret Sunshine
d. Chang Dong Lee
official site
Lebanon
1 nomination
Caramel
d. Nadine Labaki
official site
Luxembourg
never nominated
Small Secrets (Perl oder Pica)
d. Pol Cruchten
official site
Macedonia
1 nomination
Shadows
d. Milcho Manchevski
official site
Picturehouse -TBA 2008
no US distributor
roadside attractions -Jan 2008
no US distributor
no US distribution
details
120 min (Mongolian)
starring
Tadanobu Asano
synopsis

The early life of Genghis Khan who was a slave before becoming a world conqueror
misc info
Bodrov is no stranger to this category having been submitted a few times before and also working as a writer on Est-Ouest a French nominee
not selected
...
details
142 min (Korean)
starring
Do-yeon Jeon, Kang-Ho Song
synopsis

a young widow moving to a new town for a fresh start finds her life in utter turmoil
misc info
Do-Yeon Jeon won Best Actress at Cannes for this role
not selected
May 18th, Breathe
details
95 min (Arabic, French)
starring
Gisèle Aouad,
Yasmine Elmasri,
Sihame Haddad,,
Nadine Labaki, and
Joanna Mkarzel
synopsis

five Lebanese women and a beauty salon in Beirut
misc info
...
details
...
starring

Ben Hoscheit (lead, debut),
André Jung,
Nicole Max
synopsis

the story of an 11 year old boy (yes another one) in the 60s in Luxembourg
misc info
...
not selected
...
details
120 min (Macedonian)
starring
Borce Nacev, Vesna Stanojevska
synopsis
a physician living in his mother's shadow has a charmed life but after an accident he mysteriously survives, things begin to change
misc info
the director of Before the Rain, the only Macedonian nominee. He intriguingly says that Shadows is "a story of what happens if Lady Macbeth had lived today and survived to have a grown-up son."

I couldn't do this without you
Boyd and DZONG

A huge round of applause for contributing readers:
Agustin, Aldo, Alvaro, Andre, Arietro, Cristian, Eduardo, Karol, Krister, John, Jordi,
Marco, Marcos, Mauricio, Meg, Nedim, Paxton, Pedro, Stine, Utada, WZ and Yonatan

Notable foreign films not chosen by their home country:

La Vie En Rose (France) The Diving Bell and Butterfly (France), A Girl Cut in Two (France),
Meduzot (Jellyfish) (Israel)

Academy Rejections / Disqualifications
(Announced as submitting but did not appear on the final list)
BOLIVIA Los Andes no creen en Dios (The Andes Don't Believe in God) * ISRAEL The Bands Visit * TAIWAN Lust, Caution

Countries that did not submit this year
AFGHANISTAN, ALGERIA, MOROCCO, NEPAL, SOUTH AFRICA, UNITED KINGDOM
Mexico
7 noms / 0 wins
Silent Light
d. Carlos Reygadas
official site
TARTAN -TBA
details
125 min (Spanish, and German Plautdietsch --the first film ever shot in this dialect
starring
non actors
synopsis

A Mennonite community in Northern Mexico
misc info
won Cannes Jury Prize (tied Persepolis)
not selected
Finalists were Blue Eyelids and La misma luna (which Fox Searchlight has). They also passed over
Eréndira Ikikunari,Bad Habits, Morirse en domingo, My Mexican Shivah and ¿Y tú cuánto cuestas?
 
 

 

Next: The Netherlands through Vietnam