OSCAR PREDICTIONS

by Nathaniel R

days until OSCAR NIGHT!

Predictions Index
Contenders Thus Far
Argentina to Finland / France to Mexico / The Netherlands to Vietnam

_The Netherlands
_to_
_Vietnam_

FOREIGN COUNTRIES -OSCAR RECORDS / 2006 -LAST YEAR'S RACE

 

10/17 Updated: THIS IS IT. THE OFFICIAL 63 CONTENDERS discuss on the blog

 

Netherlands
7 noms/ 3 wins
Duska

d. Jos Stelling
official site?

Norway
5 noms/ 0 wins
Gone With the Woman
d. Peter Naess
official site
Peru
never nominated
Una Sombra Al Frente
d. Augusto Tamayo San Roman
official site
Phillipines
never nominated
Donsol
d. Adolfo Alix Jr.
official site
Poland
7 noms / 0 wins

Katyn
d. Andrzej Wajda
official site
More on Wajda
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
112 min (Dutch)
starring
Gene Bervoets, Sergei Makovetski and Sylvia Hoeks
synopsis

a aging film critic falls in love with a ticket taker in this dramedy
misc info
...
not selected
...
details
92 min (Norwegian)
starring
Trond Fausa Aurvaag, Marian Saastad Ottesen and Peter Stormare
synopsis

a raucous romantic comedy about a controlling chatty woman and the man she wins over
misc info
based on the novel by Erlend Loe
not selected
???
details
??? min (Spanish)
starring
Diego Bertie and Vanessa Saba
synopsis

???
misc info
???
not selected
???
details
105 min (Bicolano, Tagalog, Filipino)
starring
Sid Lucero and Angel Aquino
synopsis

Two people meet during whale watching season
misc info
...
details
? min (Polish)
synopsis

A WW II historical drama about the Stalinist massacre of Polish citizens. The title refers to the place where it happened
misc info
Wajda won an honorary Oscar in 2000. His filmMan of Iron (81) was the last Polish film nominated for this prize.
not selected
Tricks
Portugal
never nominated
Belle Toujours
d. Manoel de Oliveira
Puerto Rico
1 nomination
Maldeamores (Lovesickness)
d.Carlos Ruiz Ruiz and Mariem Perez Riera
Romania
never nominated
4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days
d. Cristian Mungiu
official site
Russia
13 noms / 4 wins
12 (12 Razgnevannyh Muzhchin)
d. Nikita Mikhalkov
official site
Serbia
never nominated
Klopka (The Trap)
d. Srdjan Golubovic
official site?
New Yorker Films already played DVD soon
no US distribution?
IFC -TBA 2007
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
68 min (French)
starring
Michel Piccoli reprises his role from the Luis Bunuel masterpiece Belle de Jour and
Bulle Ogier takes on the Deneuve part. Blasphemy you might say
synopsis

Henri sees Severine 38 years later and forces her to reexamine their past
misc info
...
not selected
...
details
??? min (Spanish)
starring
Luis Guzman, Silvia Brito, Miguel Angel Alvarez, and Yarani del Valle
synopsis

three different stories about love
misc info
produced by Benicio Del Toro
not selected
...
details
113 min (Romanian, English)
starring
Anamaria Marinca,
Laura Vasiliu,
Vlad Ivanov and
Alexandru Potocean
synopsis

an abortion drama set in 1980s
misc info
Palme D'Or @ Cannes
related post
details
153 min (Russian)
starring
NIkita Mikhalkov, Uri Stoyanova, Viktor Verzhbitsky and more...
synopsis

12 jurors must decide the fate of a Chechen teenager charged with first degree murder
misc info
a Russian riff on 12 Angry Men
not selected
...
details
106 min (Serbo-Croatian)
starring
Nebojsa Glogovac, Natasa Ninkovic, Miki Manojlovic, Anica Dobra and Dejan Cukic
synopsis

a self described "noir" about a father confonting a horrifying choice and life in post Milosevic Serbia
misc info
...
Singapore
never nominated
881
d. Royston Tan
official site
Slovakia
never nominated
Návrat bocianov (Return of the Storks)
d. Martin Repka
official site?
Slovenia
never nominated
Short Circuits
d. Janez Lapajne
official site
Spain
19 noms / 4 wins
The Orphanage
d. J.A. Bayona
official site

Sweden
14 noms / 3 wins
You, The Living
d. Roy Andersson
official site

no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
Picturehouse -Dec 2007
TARTAN -tba
details
110 min (mandarin, hokkien)
starring
Mindee Ong, Yeo Yann Yann, Qi Yu Wu, Liu Ling Ling, May and Choy
synopsis

Hit film about rival getai singers said to be full of "overwhelming pageantry" and Stephen Chow (Kung Fu Hustle) influenced lunacy
misc info
...
details
100 min ()
starring
Katharina Lorenz, Florian Stetter, Radek Brzobohaty´, Lukásą Latinák, Zuzana Maurery, Karol Csino, Kyra Mladeck
synopsis

...
misc info
...
details
105 min (Slovenian)
starring
Tjasa Zeleznik
synopsis

a multiple character interlocking narrative. They're all the rage these days at home and abroad
misc info
...
details
100 min (Spanish)
starring
Belen Rueda and Gerladine Chaplin
synopsis

...
misc info
produced by Guillermo Del Toro (Pan's Labyrinth)
not selected
The two other finalists were
Spanish Civil War set drama The 13 Roses, starring Pilar López de Ayala and Luz de domingo (Sunday's Light), by José Luis Garci (a previous winner of this category for Volver a Empezar)
details
95 min (Swedish)
synopsis

"a film about the grandeur of existing" It's composed of 50 vignettes
misc info
New Yorker Films picked up Anderssons last movie. Hopefully a brave distributro will pick this one up. *
Related TIFF post
not selected
...

Switzerland
5 noms / 2 wins
Die Herbstzeitlosen (Late Bloomers)
d. Bettina Oberli
official site
Taiwan
3 noms / 1 win
Island Etude
d. Chen Huai-En
Thailand
never nominated
King Nareusan Part 2
d. Chatrichalerm Yukol

Turkey
never nominated
Takva -A Man's Fear of God
d. Ozer Kiziltan
official site

Uruguay
nom
El baño del Papa (The Pope’s Toilet)
d. Cesar Charlone and Enrique Fernández
official site
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution
no US distribution

details
90 min (German)
starring
Stephanie Glaser,
Hanspeter Müller,
Heidi Maria Glössner and
Lilian Naef
synopsis

Four older women turn a local shop into a lingerie sotre. Oh the scandal!
misc info
...
not selected
...

details
...
starring
...
synopsis

...
misc info
...
submitted by refused
more posts on
Lust, Caution

APPARENTLY DISQUALIFIED BY AMPAS FOR THIS CATEGORY
details
165 min (Thai)
starring
Wanchana Sawatdee
synopsis

Sequel to a historical biopic epic
misc info
here's a review at coffee, coffee and more coffee
details
96 min (Turkish)
starring
Erkan Can (lead), Meray Ulgen and Guven Kirac
synopsis

a sheltered and devout Muslim suddenly encounters conflicts to his beliefs when he gets a new job, phone and computer
misc info
...
details
90/97 min (Spanish)
starring
Virginia Méndez
Virginia Ruíz
Mario Silva
César Troncoso
synopsis

...
misc info
You may remember Cesar Charlone's name from the 2003 Oscars. He was nominated for Best Cinematography for City of God
I couldn't do this without you
Boyd and DZONG

A huge round of applause for contributing readers:
Agustin, Aldo, Alvaro, Andre, Arietro, Cristian, Eduardo, Karol, Krister, John, Jordi, Marco, Marcos, Mauricio, Meg, Nedim, Paxton, Pedro, Utada, WZ and Yonatan

Notable foreign films not chosen by their home country:
La Vie En Rose (France) The Diving Bell and Butterfly (France), A Girl Cut in Two (France), Meduzot (Jellyfish) (Israel)

Academy Rejections / Disqualifications
(Announced as submitting but did not appear on the final list)
BOLIVIA Los Andes no creen en Dios (The Andes Don't Believe in God) * ISRAEL The Bands Visit * TAIWAN Lust, Caution

Countries that did not submit this year
AFGHANISTAN, ALGERIA, MOROCCO, NEPAL, SOUTH AFRICA, UNITED KINGDOM
Venezuela
never nominated
Postcards from Leningrad
d. Mariana Rondón

official site
Vietnam
1 nom
White Silk Dress (Ao lua ha dong)
d. Luu Huynh

more info
no US distribution
no US distribution
details
...
starring
Laureano Olivarez and Maria Fernanda Ferro
synopsis

The history of Venzeuelan guerrilla fighters as told by their sons
misc info
...
not selected
...
details
142 min (Vietnamese)
starring
Truong Ngoc Anh and
Khanh Quoc Nguyen
synopsis

a married couple struggles to keep a prized family possession, a white silk dress
misc info
most expensive film ever made in Vietnam
not selected
...
 

 

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