Best
Supporting Actor - July
7th Predictions |
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| 07/07
only minor adjustments. Nothing much has happened here
just yet. |
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| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Josh
Brolin Milk never nominated Focus -12/05 prev: 1,1 |
Heath Ledger The Dark Knight 1 nomination Warner Bros -7/18 prev: 5,8 |
Kodi
Smit-McPhee The Road never nominated Dimension-11/26 prev: 3, UR |
Michael
Sheen Frost/Nixon never nominated Universal -12/05 prev: 4,4 |
Demian
Bichir The Argentine / Guerilla never nominated Focus -TBA prev: 2,2 |
Why? Just a feeling this film will catch Oscar's fancy. And if you follow up an absurdly great breakthrough year with a big role in a prestige pic the following year: BINGO Why not? Hateable character |
Why? People are talking and buzz, talent and sentiment can go a long way. Plus: he'll be memorable Why not? If Michelle's Catwoman (the best perf ever in a superhero flick) didn't get any acting honors... |
Why? He's already an in demand and award winning child actor. Plus, he has a great scene partner (Viggo Mortensen) and a dramatic and sympathetic co-lead role Why not? They like young girls more @ Oscar time |
Why? Could aid Langella's performance in the same major way he played so well to Helen Mirren in The Queen Why not? Making the star look great doesn't always pay off. Just ask, well, Michael Sheen |
Why? He's playing Fidel Castro and Oscar loves a famous role they recognize. Why not? The two part nature of this film does give one pause. I'm starting to doubt that it will see release in 2008. |
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6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
Robert
Downey Jr The Soloist 1 nomination Dreamworks 11/21 prev: 7,9 |
Tobey
Maguire Brothers never nominated TBA -12/04 prev: 6,3 |
Michael
Shannon Revolutionary Road never nominated Paramount -12/26 prev: 8,5 |
Russell
Crowe House of Lies noms / 1 win Warner Bros - 10/10 prev: 9,6 |
James
Cromwell W. 1 nomination OCT prev: 14, UR |
Why? Backing up Jamie Foxx's schizo musician here and he's having a huge year Why not? This project sounds terrible to me, talented director aside |
Why? If this stays true to the original, he'll have some gut wrenching war scenes to play. Isn't it time for a first nom? Why not? Distribution for this film? Will Maguire, Portman and Gyllenhall have the right chemistry? |
Why? Said to be a good role and he's been working a lot. Oscar likes hardworking character types to be recognized now and then. Why not? Could be just the Kate & Leo show |
Why? He likes working with Ridley Scott and it shows Why not? How's the movie? Is this an actors showcase in any way? Is the role to similar to the one in American Gangster? |
Why? He's a well liked actor and Oscar loves the biopic genre. Why not? At the risk of sounding like a broken record: is this movie really a good idea? And even if it's good will anyone want to see it? |
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Other
Contenders falling
out: Thomas
Kretschmann (never nominated) Valkyrie prev: 25 -moved to
2009 / Troy Garity (never nominated) Lake City prev: 23
/ David Wenham (never nominated) Australia prev: 23, 21 |
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| 11 |
12 |
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Brad
Pitt Burn After Reading 1 nomination September prev: UR |
Paul
Bettany The Young Victoria never nominated TBA-TBA prev: 10,7 |
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Why? He looks like great fun in the trailer Why not? The Coen Bros films are rarely noticed unless they're also a BP contender (this despite an abundance of worthy comedic supporting roles in their filmography) |
Why? Still not honored after all this time? He's the advisor to the young queen. The Geoffrey Rush role if you will Why not? Still not honored after all this time. |
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prediction
history |
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June:
Bichir, Brolin,
Ledger,
Sheen, Smit-McPhee 06/11/08 I'm still not sure I believe in the Ledger/Joker hype (in terms of Oscar. Only Al Pacino has found Oscar favor for a comic flick... and that was when he still hadn't won and was soon going to) but I'll go there for now. Why not? Few roles aside from Brolin's and Bichir's seem like slam dunks anyway at this early juncture. 04/01/08 Impossible to know this early. So just throwing caution to the wind and putting some ideas out there ---an all newbie lineup. How's that? I only feel strongly about the first two candidates at this point, both playing real life people.
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