Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Final Nom Predictions I scored 4/5. I missed Amy Adams (Doubt) because I thought that Oscar would follow the Category Fraud that so many precursors had endorsed (Kate Winslet as Supporting for her Lead role in The Reader)
WINNER Predictions Penélope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
My Preference same
Readers Choice Voting Ongoing until Oscar weekend...
My Personal Ballot 3/5 similar and I enjoyed both Henson & Adams performances as well. but I still mourn the loss of the snubbed Rosemarie DeWitt from Rachel Getting Married who had one of the year's most difficult roles, and came through with flying colors. That's very bothersome.(Film counts are rough totals. It can be hard to add since IMDB doesn't sort out short films, voicework only or TV efforts)
| Amy
Adams |
Penelope
Cruz "Maria Elena" Vicky Cristina Barcelona |
Viola
Davis "Mrs. Muller" Doubt |
Taraji
P Henson "Queenie" The Curious Case of Benjamin Button |
Marisa
Tomei "Cassidy / Pam" The Wrestler |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
34
years old 44 films 2nd nomination |
43
years old 15 films 1st nomination! |
38
years old 11 films 1st nomination! |
44
years old 36 films 3rd nomination 1 win (1992) |
|
| Other
Awards: none Release: Dec 12th Box Office: $29 Co: Miramax Role: A naive nun caught in a power struggle between a tougher nun and a suspicious Father |
Other
Awards : BAFTA, NYFCC, LAFCA, NBR, Boston, NYFCO, SEFCA,
Kansas Release: Aug 15th Box Office: $23 Co: Weinstein Co Role: A mentally unstable sexy megalomaniac painter |
Other
Awards: NBR (breakthrough), AWFJ, Black Reel, St. Louis,
Houston, Dallas, AAFCA Release: Dec 12th Box Office: $29 Co: Miramax Role: the mother of an alleged abuse victim |
Other
Awards: Austin Release: Dec 25th Box Office: $120 Co: Paramount/ Warner Bros Role: the big hearted adoptive momma to an unusual child/man. Runs an old folks home |
Other
Awards: San Francisco, San Diego, Las Vegas, Florida, Phoenix,
Detroit, Oklahoma, OFCS Release: Dec 17th Box Office: $16 Co: Fox Searchlight Role: aging compassionate stripper / single mom |
How'd They Get Nominated? |
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41%
The kind of film that wins acting nominations so long as you don't
screw up 19% Performance. (Didn't screw up) 18% Role: Most sympathetic character and they've always had a thing for nuns 12% Precursor support despite no one calling her the best 6% famous 4% Enchanted |
44%
Performance: best in show ~ the sexy comic highlight 33% Role: Woody loves neurotic women and so does AMPAS 11% Had critical awards traction before any Baity films opened 10% newfound respect and love post Volver 7% very famous 2% lesbian makeout session with Scarjo 1% Javier Bardem |
40%
Performance: riveting emotional and best in show... 40% Role: but then the whole play/movie pivots on her so it's set up that way 14% Bonus points: they love a suffering mother 6% 'Oh yeah, Her. she was great in all those tiny parts, too!' (It's a welcome to the club honor) |
54%
Role: an endearing momma (a comfort food part if you will)... Bonus
points: old age makeup 32% in big Christmas hit and Best Picture nominee 13% Performance: Taraji is always quite watchable onscreen 1% Baby Boy, Hustle and Flow, etcetera... (It's a welcome to the club honor) |
41%
Role: Oscar loves a 37% Performance: Raw and moving but natural and unforced 8% Chemistry with Rourke ~well matched 6% Critics awards 5% Unexpectedly enduring career: they weren't wrong about My Cousin Vinny 2% Looks great naked 1% Famous |
Should
Win / Will Win? |
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Should
Win: Penélope Cruz's clever rendering of Woody
Allen's potentially two note "Maria Elena" character is
full of lusty feeling, dangerous flare-ups, witty line readings and
earnest ridiculousness. In short: she's great in the movie. Will Win: It's Cruz's to lose but she might. The nearest threat is probably Viola Davis who is gifted with the pivot point and emotional climax of her movie, and to paraphrase the movie "she does what needs to be done!'" Davis's chief problem may be some vote siphoning from her popular co-star and her own very limited screentime |
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Who
Got Robbed? |
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 That
depends on who you ask? For me, it's unquestionably Rosemarie
DeWitt for Rachel Getting Married (my
ballot) She won two critics awards (DC & Utah) as well as the
Golden Satellite but for reasons entirely frustrating to me (i.e. lack
of fame and her not always likeable character --but AHEM these are supposed
to be acting prizes), she did not score well in the big precursor
awards which often brainwash Oscar voters as to what they should consider
as "best". Others might make a case for Debra Winger from Rachel Getting Married (an Indie Spirit nominee), Vera Farmiga for Nothing but the Truth (a BFCA nominee) or Hanna Schygulla from The Edge of Heaven (the NSFC winner) |
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