OSCAR RACE
2009
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commentary by Nathaniel R
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statistics:
reflect acting categories only, # of films is approximate and excludes tv,
shorts and voicework
Best Supporting Actor
WINNER: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds)
He's the fifth actor to be nominated from within Quentin Tarantino's filmography and the first to win. The previous nominees were Thurman, Travolta and Jackson in Pulp Fiction and Forster in Jackie Brown.
READER'S CHOICE: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
NATHANIEL'S CHOICE: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds (the only one of the nominees to make my ballot)
discuss @ the blog
| Matt
Damon |
Woody
Harrelson "Capt. Tony Stone" The Messenger |
Christopher
Plummer "Leo Tolstoy" The Last Station |
Stanley
Tucci "George Harvey" The Lovely Bones |
Christoph
Waltz "Col. Hans Landa" Inglourious Basterds |
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39
years old 34 films 2nd nomination |
48
years old 43 films 2nd nomination |
80
years old 80(ish) films (*not including a ton of tv and voice work) 1st nomination! |
49
years old 56 films 1st nomination! |
53
years old 21 (?) films (mostly television work) 1st nomination! |
| Other
Awards none |
Other
Awards NBR, Indie Spirit |
Other
Awards none |
Other
Awards none |
Other
Awards |
| How'd They Get Nominated? | ||||
29%
Eastwood historical drama = instant traction. |
38%
Performance: Effective and moving 33% Role: Alcoholism and grief are classic Bait. Plus: Plenty of screentime 11% Career endurance. Props for that. 9% Topical film 6% Timing: late enough to be fresh in memory, not so late that it got trapped in December glut 2% weed-lovers unite! 1% Zombieland |
41%
Career Honors. They've ignored him for decades and he's 80 years old.
Times a wastin. 33% Role: It's a lead and you know about the endless Oscar allure of the biopic 9% Performance 8% Helen Mirren 7% Sorry about The Insider. No, we don't know what we were thinking either. 2% Bird noises |
38%
Role: Voters are hot for psycho killers 25% Performance: Big, sweaty, underlined, scenery chewing 22% An "it's time" nod. Early traction won from 'He's turning 5o. He's done great work in the past. He's having a big year.' 10% Voter apathy. They didn't think to look elsewhere once Bones met bad reviews 5% Julie & Julia |
55%
Performance: witty, funny, scary 27% Role: big and very well written 7% "That's a Bingo!" catchphrases that enter public discourse are gold. 5% Hit film and BP nominee 3% WW II factor... even if it's a fantasy version of same 2% Tarantino 1% Fine acceptance speeches all season |
| Will Win / Should Win | ||||
| Christoph Waltz has it in the bag. There was no sentimental "career" swell for Woody or Plummer, apart from their nominations. It's a good place to reward the entertaining Tarantino film. | ||||
| Who Got Robbed? | ||||
Anthony
Mackie (The Hurt Locker) can't catch a break, can
he? Despite repeatedly solid work in Oscar nominated films (8 Mile,
Half Nelson, Million Dollar Baby) and now a large role in a Best
Picture frontrunner they've never noticed him. What will it take, do
you think? Christian McKay (Me and Orson Welles)
worked a typical Oscar-Bait role (famous person mimicry) to great reviews
and "major debut!" buzz but in the end his film was too small
to register with voters. |
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READERS CHOICE:
OSCAR
Predictions
Picture / Dir
Actor / Actress
Supp Actor
Supp Actress
Foreign
Screenplays
Costumes
Animated
Tech1/Tech 2
FiLM BiTCH
2009