OSCAR RACE 2010
commentary by Nathaniel R


Oscar Predix for fun and discussion

Rankings are for entertainment / predictive purposes only and sometimes bare little resemblance to the actual worth of achievements or performances.


July 15th, 2010
NEW PREDICTIONS COMPLETE

Click on the category title to see more thorough information

Discuss the Predictions on the blog
for the entire blog -- not just Oscar -- click here

 

PICTURE

127 Hours
(Fox Searchlight)
Another Year
(Focus)
The Fighter
(Paramount) Inception
(Warner Bros)
Kids Are All Right
(Focus)
The King's Speech
(Weinstein Co)
Love & Other...
(Fox)
Social Network
(TBA)
Toy Story 3
(Pixar/Disney)
The Way Back
(TBA)

DIR

Boyle
127 Hours
Hooper
The King's Speech
Leigh
Another Year
Nolan
Inception
Weir
The Way Back

ACTOR

Bardem
Biutiful
Duvall
Get Low
Firth
The King's Speech
Franco
127 Hours
Wahlberg
The Fighter

ACTRESS

Bening
The Kids Are...
Hathaway
Love and Other...
Kidman
Rabbit Hole
Watts
Fair Game
Wright
The Conspirator


SUPP. ACTOR

Bale
The Fighter
Harris
The Way Back
Ruffalo
The Kids Are...
Rush
The King's Speech
Timberlake
Social Network

SUPP. ACTRESS

Bonham-Carter
The King's Speech
Manville
Another Year
Mirren
Brighton Rock
Riseborough
Brighton Rock
Wiest
Rabbit Hole

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Another Year
Leigh
The Fighter
(multiple)
The Kids Are...
Cholodenko & Blumber
The King's Speech
Seidler
Somewhere
Coppola

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Love and Other Drugs
Zwick & Herkovitz
Rabbit Hole
Lindsay-Abaire
Social Network
Sorkin
Toy Story 3
Arndt
The Way Back
Weir

 

CINEMA-TOGRAPHY

127 Hours
Mantle & Chediak
Black Swan
Libatique
Inception
Pfister
Tree of Life
Lubezki
The Way Back
Boyd

ART DIRECTION

The Conspirator
Ivanov
Inception
Dyas
The King's Speech
Stewart
Tree of Life
Fisk
True Grit
Gonchor

COSTUME DESIGN

Alice Wonderland
Atwood
The Conspirator
Frogley
The King's Speech
Beavan
Miral
unknown
The Tempest
Powell

EDITING

Inception
Smith
The Fighter
Martin
Love and Other...
Rosenblum
The Social Network
Baxter and Wall
The Way Back
Smith

SCORE

Biutiful
Santaoalla
Eat Pray Love
Marianelli
Inception
Zimmer
Never Let Me Go
Portman
Tree of Life
Desplat

FOREIGN
Submission Possibilities Pages are Up. More info to be added.

France
Israel
Italy
Japan
South Korea

SOUND MIXING

Burlesque
Inception
Iron Man 2
Tron Legacy
The Way Back

SOUND EDITING

Inception
Iron Man 2
True Grit
Toy Story 3
The Way Back

VISUAL fx

Alice Wonderland
Harry Potter
Inception
Iron Man 2
Tron Legacy

MAKEUP

Alice Wonderland
Let Me In
The Tempest

SONG

Burlesque
My Own Love Song
Tangled
Tangled
Burlesque

ANIMATED
& DOCUMENTARY

How to Train...
The Illusionist
Shrek 4
Tangled
Toy Story 3

 

Overall Nomination Tallies Predicted
This never looks right... but FWIW...


9 noms
INCEPTION

8 noms
THE KING'S SPEECH
THE WAY BACK

5 noms
127 HOURS
THE FIGHTER

4 noms
ANOTHER YEAR
 THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT
LOVE AND OTHER DRUGS
THE SOCIAL NETWORK
TOY STORY 3

3 noms
ALICE IN WONDERLAND
BURLESQUE
THE CONSPIRATOR
IRON MAN 2
RABBIT HOLE
TANGLED
THE TREE OF LIFE

2 noms
BIUTIFUL
BRIGHTON ROCK
THE TEMPEST
TRON LEGACY
TRUE GRIT

1 nom
BLACK SWAN
EAT PRAY LOVE
FAIR GAME
GET LOW
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 1
HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON
THE ILLUSIONIST
LET ME IN
MIRAL
MY OWN LOVE SONG
NEVER LET ME GO
SHREK FOREVER AFTER
SOMEWHERE







 

Academy Awards Membership Numbers
(biggest to smallest)

Actors 1205
Producers 452
Executives 437
Sound 405
Writers 382
Art Directors (this branch includes costume designers as well) 374
Public Relations 368
Directors 366
Short Films and Animation 340
Visual Effects 279
Members-at-Large 245
Music 234
Film Editors 221
Cinematographers 200
Documentary 151
Makeup Artists 118